Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Samuel Allison
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Norwich City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 80 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 72 | Scored | 57 |
| 47 | Conceded | 59 |
| +25 | GD | -2 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 48% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Middlesbrough FC and Swansea City AFC get this one started.
- 5' Riley McGree has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 24 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam Cullen suffering a number of foals already.
- 14' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Cabango.
- 19' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' The Ivory Coast Emmanuel Latte Lath breaks the deadlock on 25 minutes. 1-0!
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Lukas Engel.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Goncalo Franco on 43.
- 46' The whistle greets Azeem Abdulai as he departs to be replaced by Ronald.
- 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aidan Morris made 284 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Seny Dieng is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 63' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Kyle Naughton comes on to replace Josh Key.
- 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
- 76' Josh Tymon is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
- 77' The whistle greets Goncalo Franco as he departs to be replaced by Oliver Cooper.
- 81' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 81 minute. Finn Azaz leaves to be changed by Delano Burgzorg.
- 86' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Emmanuel Latte Lath by Josh Coburn on 86 minute.
- 90' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Ji-sung Eom is replaced by Ben Lloyd on 90 minute.
- Swansea City AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Middlesbrough FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 1
- 9
-
8
Riley McGree ↓ Jonny Howson 90'
- 11
- 7
- 18
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Delano Burgzorg 81'
- 3
- 27
Bench
- 15
- 4
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 81'
- 23
-
19
Josh Coburn ↑ 86'
- 14
-
16
Jonny Howson ↑ 90'
- 17
- 37
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Zan Vipotnik 63'
- 8
- 20
- 22
-
2
Josh Key ↓ Kyle Naughton 63'
- 6
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Oliver Cooper 77'
-
47
Azeem Abdulai ↓ Ronald 46'
- 10
Bench
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 63'
- 3
- 21
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 77'
- 29
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↑ 63'
- 44
-
35
Ronald ↑ 46'
- 43
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre Ayew | 5 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 3 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Zan Vipotnik | 2 |
| Rhian Brewster | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Yan Dhanda | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2024-08-10
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2024-05-04
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2024-04-27
Norwich City FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2024-04-20
Huddersfield Town AFC
0–4
Swansea City AFC
W
2024-04-13
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2024-04-10
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Stoke City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.81
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 56% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
44%
Middlesbrough FC or Swansea City AFC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.