Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 13,986 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ji-sung Eom 26' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
15 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
12 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Middlesbrough FC
#11 Position #5
64 Points 80
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
57 Scored 72
59 Conceded 47
-2 GD +25
1.39 PPG 1.74
39% Win % 48%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC37% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC34%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
65%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
63%
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC23% Draw49% Middlesbrough FC28%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
28%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.