Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
4 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 11 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 12 |
| +0 | GD | +4 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Middlesbrough FC gets underway.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' Tommy Conway is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 20' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rav van den Berg, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Morgan Whittaker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
- 45' Millwall FC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Macaulay Langstaff is replacing Luke Cundle for the Millwall FC side.
- 51' Tristan Crama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' Denmark international Lukas Jensen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace George Honeyman by Camiel Neghli on 57 minute.
- 58' The whistle greets Aidomo Emakhu as he departs to be replaced by Femi Azeez.
- 63' Luke Cundle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 65' What a moment for Camiel Neghli! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
- 66' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Delano Burgzorg exits the field as Riley McGree enters on 66.
- 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcus Forss made 346 appearances and scored 38 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 79' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Camiel Neghli is withdrawn and Wes Harding gets his opportunity.
- 84' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Anfernee Dijksteel is replaced by Kelechi Iheanacho on 84 minute.
- 88' Femi Azeez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- Millwall FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
-
39
George Honeyman ↓ Camiel Neghli 57'
- 15
- 24
- 8
- 25
- 52
- 1
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Femi Azeez 58'
- 26
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 46'
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 58'
- 14
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 58'
-
56
Camiel Neghli ↑ 57'
- 54
- 41
- 34
Coach
Alex Neil
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 32
- 15
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↓ Riley McGree 66'
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Marcus Forss 66'
- 7
- 18
- 20
- 3
- 22
- 29
- 16
Bench
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↑ 84'
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 66'
- 28
- 6
- 4
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 66'
- 23
- 49
- 36
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| George Friend | 1 |
| Lukas Engel | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-04-12
Millwall FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-04-08
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2025-04-04
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-03-15
Luton Town FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

