Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC The Den 17,523 HT 45' · FT 45'
Camiel Neghli 65' 1–0
Femi Azeez 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
08 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W
05 Apr Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
15 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Millwall FC A 0–1 L
08 Apr Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
04 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
29 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
11 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Middlesbrough FC
#11 Position #3
11 Points 15
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 1
15 Scored 16
15 Conceded 12
+0 GD +4
1.38 PPG 1.88
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Middlesbrough FC gets underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Tommy Conway is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 20' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rav van den Berg, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' Morgan Whittaker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
  • 45' Millwall FC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Macaulay Langstaff is replacing Luke Cundle for the Millwall FC side.
  • 51' Tristan Crama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Denmark international Lukas Jensen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 57' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace George Honeyman by Camiel Neghli on 57 minute.
  • 58' The whistle greets Aidomo Emakhu as he departs to be replaced by Femi Azeez.
  • 63' Luke Cundle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 65' What a moment for Camiel Neghli! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Delano Burgzorg exits the field as Riley McGree enters on 66.
  • 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcus Forss made 346 appearances and scored 38 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 79' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Camiel Neghli is withdrawn and Wes Harding gets his opportunity.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Anfernee Dijksteel is replaced by Kelechi Iheanacho on 84 minute.
  • 88' Femi Azeez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
  • Millwall FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC40% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC35%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC27% Draw44% Middlesbrough FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.