Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 83 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 64 | Scored | 72 |
| 49 | Conceded | 47 |
| +15 | GD | +25 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 52% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC is underway.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' Finn Azaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' It’s high time Michael Carrick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Macaulay Langstaff is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luke Cundle at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aidomo Emakhu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' Another change for Millwall FC made on 57 minute. George Honeyman leaves to be changed by Camiel Neghli.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Femi Azeez. He replaces Aidomo Emakhu on 58 minute.
- 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 65' The Algeria Camiel Neghli breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 1-0!
- 66' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Delano Burgzorg has done his job and it is now time for Riley McGree to step up.
- 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 79' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Camiel Neghli is replaced by Wes Harding on 79 minute.
- 84' Kelechi Iheanacho is replacing Anfernee Dijksteel for the Middlesbrough FC side.
- 88' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Femi Azeez gets a card.
- Full Time. Millwall FC beats Middlesbrough FC
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
-
39
George Honeyman ↓ Camiel Neghli 57'
- 15
- 24
- 8
- 25
- 52
- 1
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Femi Azeez 58'
- 26
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 46'
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 58'
- 14
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 58'
-
56
Camiel Neghli ↑ 57'
- 54
- 41
- 34
Coach
Alex Neil
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 32
- 15
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↓ Riley McGree 66'
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Marcus Forss 66'
- 7
- 18
- 20
- 3
- 22
- 29
- 16
Bench
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↑ 84'
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 66'
- 28
- 6
- 4
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 66'
- 23
- 49
- 36
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Aiden O'Brien | 1 |
| Grant Hall | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-04-12
Millwall FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-04-08
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2025-04-04
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-03-15
Luton Town FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
3 – 0
2.3%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.