Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Sam Greenwood
Jamal Lowe 59' 1–1
1–2 78' Sam Silvera

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–2 L
12 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
09 Dec Rotherham United FC A 2–1 W
02 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
29 Nov Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
25 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
13 Dec Hull City AFC H 1–2 L
09 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
02 Dec Leeds United FC A 2–3 L
28 Nov Preston North End FC H 4–0 W
25 Nov Bristol City FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Middlesbrough FC
#11 Position #5
64 Points 80
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
57 Scored 72
59 Conceded 47
-2 GD +25
1.39 PPG 1.74
39% Win % 48%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Swansea City AFC get us underway at Swansea.com Stadium.
  • 5' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Charlie Patino needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 13 Yellow cards this season.
  • 35' Swansea City AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' Sam Greenwood adds to his 0 season tally! Middlesbrough FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alan Sheehan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 59' What composure from Jamal Lowe! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 63' Poor challenge from Josh Tymon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFCOliver Cooper on, Liam Walsh off on 64 minutes.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jonny Howson on 64.
  • 65' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jamie Paterson.
  • 70' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 71' The whistle greets Matt Crooks as he departs to be replaced by Morgan Rogers.
  • 71' Isaiah Jones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 72' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Sam Greenwood is withdrawn and Sam Silvera gets his opportunity.
  • 77' England international Matt Crooks has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 78' Sam Silvera makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
  • 81' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Jamie Paterson departs to be replaced by Yannick Bolasie.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 87' Jamal Lowe makes way for Liam Cullen at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Tom Glover comes on to replace Seny Dieng.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Emmanuel Latte Lath.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Middlesbrough FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC29% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC44%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
56%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
71%
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC22% Draw44% Middlesbrough FC34%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
19%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.