Swansea City AFC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 George Byrne
- Assistant 2 Matthew Jones
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Oxford United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Swansea City AFC is hosting Oxford United FC for another epic battle.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ruben Rodrigues made 6 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Lawrence Vigouroux has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' Ji-sung Eom makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Swansea City AFC are in front.
- 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 33' It is a cagey affair so far. Swansea City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact 4-4-1-1.
- 38' A quiet spell here at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' The Jamaica defender Greg Leigh breaks the deadlock on 40 minutes. 1-1!
- 45' Zan Vipotnik has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 48' Oxford United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
- 53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' Ronald is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 62' GOAL! Michal Helik scores on 62.
- 67' Oxford United FC ring the changes. Ruben Rodrigues has done his job and it is now time for Mark Harris to step up.
- 68' The whistle greets Stanley Mills as he departs to be replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta.
- 70' The crowd applauds Joe Allen as he leaves the pitch. Kyle Naughton steps in for Swansea City AFC.
- 73' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Josh Key is replaced by Oliver Cooper on 73 minute.
- 77' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 77 minute. Ole Romeny leaves to be changed by Marselino Ferdinan.
- 82' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Rowett will be considering his options from the bench.
- 83' The Wales Liam Cullen breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 3-2!
- 88' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Sam Long comes on to replace Hidde ter Avest.
- 89' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Ben Lloyd on, Ji-sung Eom off on 89 minutes.
- 90' Oxford United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Joe Allen ↓ Kyle Naughton 70'
- 8
- 22
-
2
Josh Key ↓ Oliver Cooper 73'
- 28
- 5
- 14
- 17
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↓ Liam Cullen 73'
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Ben Lloyd 89'
Bench
- 4
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 70'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 73'
- 33
- 23
- 19
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 73'
-
36
Ben Lloyd ↑ 89'
- 99
Coach
Luke Williams
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 21
- 8
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Sam Long 88'
-
11
Ole Romeny ↓ Marselino Ferdinan 77'
- 47
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Mark Harris 67'
- 19
- 44
- 16
-
22
Greg Leigh ↓ Joe Bennett 77'
- 18
Bench
-
9
Mark Harris ↑ 67'
- 10
-
12
Joe Bennett ↑ 77'
-
2
Sam Long ↑ 88'
- 1
- 5
-
7
Przemyslaw Placheta ↑ 68'
- 30
-
28
Marselino Ferdinan ↑ 77'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zan Vipotnik | 1 |
| Dane Scarlett | 1 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
| Ronald | 1 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
| Przemyslaw Placheta | 1 |
| Greg Leigh | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-05-03
Swansea City AFC
3–3
Oxford United FC
D
2025-04-26
Millwall FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-04-21
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-04-18
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Hull City AFC
W
2025-04-12
Sunderland AFC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-04-09
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
Oxford United FC Form
2025-05-03
Swansea City AFC
3–3
Oxford United FC
D
2025-04-26
Oxford United FC
2–0
Sunderland AFC
W
2025-04-21
Cardiff City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-04-18
Oxford United FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2025-04-12
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-04-09
Oxford United FC
1–3
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Oxford United FC
53%
Swansea City AFC or Oxford United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

