Monday , 14 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Ollie Watkins
0–2 38' Ollie Watkins
Tahith Chong 66' 1–2
Carlton Morris 72' 2–2
2–3 89' Lucas Digne

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
16 games this season 🟨 3.6/game 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
27 Feb Manchester City FC H 2–6 L
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
10 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Luton Town FC get us underway at Kenilworth Road.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 6' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCChiedozie Ogbene on, Amari'i Bell off on 6 minutes.
  • 11' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 16' Carlton Morris has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' What composure from Ollie Watkins! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 29' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Jacob Ramsey is replaced by Morgan Rogers on 29 minute.
  • 34' Leon Bailey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 38' The England Ollie Watkins breaks the deadlock on 38 minutes. 0-2!
  • 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Reece Burke.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 383 games and scored 469 goals.
  • 45' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a card on 45.
  • 50' Morgan Rogers was booked on 50.
  • 53' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Daiki Hashioka comes on to replace Andros Townsend.
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' Goal! Tahith Chong scores his 14 goal in 409 matches.
  • 71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' A goal from the England international Carlton Morris! He fires home on 72 to make it 2-2!
  • 77' Alex Moreno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' The whistle greets Alex Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Digne.
  • 84' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tahith Chong at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' Goal! Lucas Digne scores his 10 goal in 319 matches.
  • 90' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw23% Aston Villa FC52%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC20% Draw39% Aston Villa FC41%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.