Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Aston Villa FC 4 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
16 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 13.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City FC | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Brentford FC | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Liverpool FC | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Everton FC | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Ipswich Town FC | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle United FC | 3 | 5 |
| 11 | Leeds United FC | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest FC | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United FC | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace FC | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham FC | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa FC | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry City FC | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Liverpool FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Newcastle United FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | Fulham FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Feb | Chelsea FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 5–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Luton Town FC get us underway at Kenilworth Road.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 6' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Chiedozie Ogbene on, Amari'i Bell off on 6 minutes.
- 11' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 16' Carlton Morris has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 24' What composure from Ollie Watkins! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 29' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Jacob Ramsey is replaced by Morgan Rogers on 29 minute.
- 34' Leon Bailey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 38' The England Ollie Watkins breaks the deadlock on 38 minutes. 0-2!
- 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Reece Burke.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 383 games and scored 469 goals.
- 45' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a card on 45.
- 50' Morgan Rogers was booked on 50.
- 53' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Daiki Hashioka comes on to replace Andros Townsend.
- 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 63' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 66' Goal! Tahith Chong scores his 14 goal in 409 matches.
- 71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
- 72' A goal from the England international Carlton Morris! He fires home on 72 to make it 2-2!
- 77' Alex Moreno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 79' The whistle greets Alex Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Digne.
- 84' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tahith Chong at the 84 minute mark.
- 89' Goal! Lucas Digne scores his 10 goal in 319 matches.
- 90' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 6
- 16
- 45
- 29
- 9
- 18
- 24
- 14
- 12
- 15
Bench
- 10
- 23
-
7
Chiedozie Ogbene ↑ 6'
- 1
- 8
-
4
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 53'
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 84'
- 43
- 47
Coach
Rob Edwards
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 11
- 4
- 7
- 8
-
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Moussa Diaby 79'
- 6
- 17
-
15
Alex Moreno ↓ Lucas Digne 79'
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↓ Morgan Rogers 29'
Bench
-
27
Morgan Rogers ↑ 29'
-
12
Lucas Digne ↑ 79'
- 16
-
19
Moussa Diaby ↑ 79'
- 14
-
22
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 79'
- 25
- 47
- 29
Coach
Unai Emery
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | 2 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Tahith Chong | 1 |
| John McGinn | 1 |
| Moussa Diaby | 1 |
| Lucas Digne | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Aston Villa FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Aston Villa FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

