Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
20 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 10.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 38 | 39 |
| 2 | Burnley FC | 38 | 22 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 38 | 20 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Coventry City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Ipswich Town FC | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Arsenal FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Manchester City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Manchester United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Aston Villa FC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Liverpool FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Brentford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Chelsea FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Fulham FC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Newcastle United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Everton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Leeds United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Crystal Palace FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Nottingham Forest FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Liverpool FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Newcastle United FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | Fulham FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Feb | Chelsea FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 5–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Kenilworth Road will turn into a battlefield for Luton Town FC and Aston Villa FC.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 6' Luton Town FC make a change. Amari'i Bell trudges off to be replaced by Chiedozie Ogbene on 6 minutes.
- 11' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 16' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Aston Villa FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 21' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
- 24' Ollie Watkins is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 29' Jacob Ramsey makes way for Morgan Rogers at the 29 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 38' GOAL! Ollie Watkins fires home to make it 0-2!
- 38' Reece Burke has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
- 43' Thomas Kaminski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
- 45' Douglas Luiz was booked on 45.
- 50' Morgan Rogers was booked on 50.
- 53' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Andros Townsend is replaced by Daiki Hashioka on 53 minute.
- 58' Luton Town FC have won 465 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 66' GOAL! Tahith Chong fires home to make it 1-2!
- 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 72' Carlton Morris makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Luton Town FC are in front.
- 77' Ross Barkley, a England , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 79' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Lucas Digne on, Alex Moreno off on 79 minutes.
- 84' The crowd applauds Tahith Chong as he leaves the pitch. Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu steps in for Luton Town FC.
- 89' Sensational shot from Lucas Digne. Aston Villa FC is back in the lead.
- 90' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The points are shared — Luton Town FC 2-3 Aston Villa FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 6
- 16
- 45
- 29
- 9
- 18
- 24
- 14
- 12
- 15
Bench
- 10
- 23
-
7
Chiedozie Ogbene ↑ 6'
- 1
- 8
-
4
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 53'
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 84'
- 43
- 47
Coach
Rob Edwards
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 11
- 4
- 7
- 8
-
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Moussa Diaby 79'
- 6
- 17
-
15
Alex Moreno ↓ Lucas Digne 79'
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↓ Morgan Rogers 29'
Bench
-
27
Morgan Rogers ↑ 29'
-
12
Lucas Digne ↑ 79'
- 16
-
19
Moussa Diaby ↑ 79'
- 14
-
22
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 79'
- 25
- 47
- 29
Coach
Unai Emery
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | 2 |
| Moussa Diaby | 1 |
| Lucas Digne | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Tahith Chong | 1 |
| John McGinn | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Aston Villa FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Aston Villa FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.