Saturday , 14 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Ollie Watkins
0–2 38' Ollie Watkins
Tahith Chong 66' 1–2
Carlton Morris 72' 2–2
2–3 89' Lucas Digne

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

2
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
27 Feb Manchester City FC H 2–6 L
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
10 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 6' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Amari'i Bell is replaced by Chiedozie Ogbene.
  • 11' Jacob Ramsey has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 365 appearances.
  • 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ollie Watkins, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 21' Issa Kabore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 24' Ollie Watkins does the damage! The net is bulging and Aston Villa FC surge ahead!
  • 29' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Jacob Ramsey is withdrawn and Morgan Rogers gets his opportunity.
  • 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 38' Ollie Watkins makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
  • 38' Reece Burke catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Douglas Luiz argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 50' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 53' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 53 minute. Andros Townsend leaves to be changed by Daiki Hashioka.
  • 58' Reece Burke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 63' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
  • 66' Tahith Chong does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
  • 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' Carlton Morris doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Alex Moreno by Lucas Digne on 79 minute.
  • 84' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Tahith Chong has done his job and it is now time for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu to step up.
  • 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lucas Digne makes it 2-3.
  • 90' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw23% Aston Villa FC52%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC20% Draw39% Aston Villa FC41%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.