Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
23 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 12.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Manchester City FC | H | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Liverpool FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Newcastle United FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | Fulham FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Feb | Chelsea FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 5–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 6 G | 1 A |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 3 A |
| Alysson | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 6' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Amari'i Bell is replaced by Chiedozie Ogbene.
- 11' Jacob Ramsey has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 365 appearances.
- 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ollie Watkins, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
- 21' Issa Kabore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 24' Ollie Watkins does the damage! The net is bulging and Aston Villa FC surge ahead!
- 29' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Jacob Ramsey is withdrawn and Morgan Rogers gets his opportunity.
- 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' Ollie Watkins makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
- 38' Reece Burke catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Douglas Luiz argues furiously but the card stands.
- 50' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 53' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 53 minute. Andros Townsend leaves to be changed by Daiki Hashioka.
- 58' Reece Burke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
- 63' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
- 66' Tahith Chong does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
- 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 72' Carlton Morris doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 79' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Alex Moreno by Lucas Digne on 79 minute.
- 84' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Tahith Chong has done his job and it is now time for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu to step up.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lucas Digne makes it 2-3.
- 90' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
- The final score is 2-3.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 6
- 16
- 45
- 29
- 9
- 18
- 24
- 14
- 12
- 15
Bench
- 10
- 23
-
7
Chiedozie Ogbene ↑ 6'
- 1
- 8
-
4
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 53'
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 84'
- 43
- 47
Coach
Rob Edwards
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 11
- 4
- 7
- 8
-
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Moussa Diaby 79'
- 6
- 17
-
15
Alex Moreno ↓ Lucas Digne 79'
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↓ Morgan Rogers 29'
Bench
-
27
Morgan Rogers ↑ 29'
-
12
Lucas Digne ↑ 79'
- 16
-
19
Moussa Diaby ↑ 79'
- 14
-
22
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 79'
- 25
- 47
- 29
Coach
Unai Emery
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | 2 |
| John McGinn | 1 |
| Moussa Diaby | 1 |
| Lucas Digne | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Tahith Chong | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Aston Villa FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Aston Villa FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

