Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Luton Town FC
2 – 3
Full Time
Aston Villa FC
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Ollie Watkins
0–2 38' Ollie Watkins
Tahith Chong 66' 1–2
Carlton Morris 72' 2–2
2–3 89' Lucas Digne
Reece Burke 38' Y
Y 45' Douglas Luiz
Y 45' Leon Bailey
Y 50' Morgan Rogers
Y 90' Nicolo Zaniolo

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Manchester City FC 5 15
2 Arsenal FC 5 12
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 5 10
4 Brentford FC 5 9
5 Leeds United FC 5 9
6 Liverpool FC 5 9
7 Everton FC 5 9
8 Hull City AFC 5 8
9 Newcastle United FC 5 8
10 Chelsea FC 5 7
11 Ipswich Town FC 5 6
12 Manchester United FC 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest FC 5 5
14 Sunderland AFC 5 4
15 Crystal Palace FC 5 4
16 Aston Villa FC 5 4
17 AFC Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry City FC 5 3
19 Fulham FC 5 2
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 5 2

Head-to-Head

2
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Aston Villa FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-02 Luton Town FC 2–3 Aston Villa FC 2023-10-29 Aston Villa FC 3–1 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
27 Feb Manchester City FC H 2–6 L
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
10 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
Aston Villa FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Aston Villa FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Aston Villa FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 6' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Amari'i Bell has done his job and it is now time for Chiedozie Ogbene to step up.
  • 11' Nicolo Zaniolo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' The 26-year-old Tahith Chong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 24' A stunning finish from Ollie Watkins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 29' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Jacob Ramsey has done his job and it is now time for Morgan Rogers to step up.
  • 34' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' What a strike from Ollie Watkins! The score is 0-2.
  • 38' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Reece Burke gets a card.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rob Edwards will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Douglas Luiz. He receives a card.
  • 50' Morgan Rogers picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Andros Townsend by Daiki Hashioka on 53 minute.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 63' Teden Mengi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 66' Tahith Chong adds to his 0 season tally! Luton Town FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 71' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 72' Carlton Morris adds to his 1 season tally! Luton Town FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 77' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 79' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Alex Moreno has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Digne to step up.
  • 84' Luton Town FC make a change. Tahith Chong trudges off to be replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The France defender Lucas Digne breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-3!
  • 90' Nicolo Zaniolo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Luton Town FC will have plenty to reflect on. Aston Villa FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rob Edwards

Aston Villa FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Unai Emery

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ollie Watkins 2
John McGinn 1
Moussa Diaby 1
Lucas Digne 1
Carlton Morris 1
Tahith Chong 1

Head to Head

2024-03-02 Luton Town FC 2–3 Aston Villa FC 2023-10-29 Aston Villa FC 3–1 Luton Town FC

Luton Town FC Form

2024-03-02 Luton Town FC 2–3 Aston Villa FC L 2024-02-27 Luton Town FC 2–6 Manchester City FC L 2024-02-21 Liverpool FC 4–1 Luton Town FC L 2024-02-18 Luton Town FC 1–2 Manchester United FC L 2024-02-10 Luton Town FC 1–3 Sheffield United FC L 2024-02-03 Newcastle United FC 4–4 Luton Town FC D

Aston Villa FC Form

2024-03-02 Luton Town FC 2–3 Aston Villa FC W 2024-02-24 Aston Villa FC 4–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2024-02-17 Fulham FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC W 2024-02-11 Aston Villa FC 1–2 Manchester United FC L 2024-02-07 Aston Villa FC 1–3 Chelsea FC L 2024-02-03 Sheffield United FC 0–5 Aston Villa FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw23% Aston Villa FC52%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC20% Draw39% Aston Villa FC41%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.