Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2023-24 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 27 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Erling Haaland
0–2 18' Erling Haaland
0–3 40' Erling Haaland
Jordan Clark 45' 1–3
Jordan Clark 52' 2–3
2–4 55' Erling Haaland
2–5 58' Erling Haaland
2–6 72' Mateo Kovacic

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Manchester City FCFA Cup at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Shaun Hudson
19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Head-to-Head

3
Luton Town FC 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals Manchester City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Manchester City FC H 2–6 L
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
10 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
30 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Luton Town FC A 6–2 W
24 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–0 W
20 Feb Brentford FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–1 D
13 Feb FC København A 3–1 W
10 Feb Everton FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A
Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.42 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC23% Draw22% Manchester City FC55%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Manchester City FC
77%
Luton Town FC or Manchester City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC19% Draw37% Manchester City FC44%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–6 not predicted
2 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.3%
0 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 20% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
10%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.