Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Wed 7 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Conor Gallagher
0–2 21' Nicolas Jackson
0–3 54' Enzo Fernandez
Moussa Diaby 90+1' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC — FA Cup at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
26 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
14 Jan Everton FC A 0–0 D
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
04 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–4 L
31 Jan Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
26 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–0 D
13 Jan Fulham FC H 1–0 W
06 Jan Preston North End FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Pedro Neto 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Aston Villa FC and Chelsea FC get this one started.
  • 5' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Matty Cash has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 11' Chelsea FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Conor Gallagher on 11.
  • 16' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nicolas Jackson makes it 0-2.
  • 26' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Chelsea FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 31' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Chelsea FC's shape.
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Chelsea FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Carlos is booked for Aston Villa FC — card on 38.
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Enzo Fernandez made 189 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' Enzo Fernandez doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Enzo Fernandez on 55.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' A quiet spell here at Villa Park. Chelsea FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 71' Jacob Ramsey has so much to prove this time. He replaces Youri Tielemans on 71 minute.
  • 72' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. John McGinn has done his job and it is now time for Moussa Diaby to step up.
  • 75' A change in the Chelsea FC ranks — Noni Madueke exits the field as Raheem Sterling enters on 75.
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Dorde Petrovic.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Chelsea FC. Cole Palmer is replaced by Thiago Silva.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Chelsea FC. Benoit Badiashile is replaced by Alfie Gilchrist.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Leon Bailey is replaced by Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • Chelsea FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Chelsea FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC35% Draw27% Chelsea FC38%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Chelsea FC
65%
Aston Villa FC or Chelsea FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC24% Draw45% Chelsea FC31%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.