Sunday , 16 August 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC St James' Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Sean Longstaff 7' 1–0
1–1 21' Gabriel Osho
Sean Longstaff 23' 2–1
2–2 40' Ross Barkley
2–3 59' Carlton Morris pen
2–4 62' Elijah Adebayo
Kieran Trippier 67' 3–4
Harvey Barnes 73' 4–4

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Luton Town FCPremier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Head-to-Head

1
1
Newcastle United FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Luton Town FC H 4–4 D
30 Jan Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
27 Jan Fulham FC A 2–0 W
13 Jan Manchester City FC H 2–3 L
06 Jan Sunderland AFC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
30 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–0 W
27 Jan Everton FC A 2–1 W
16 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Newcastle United FC or Luton Town FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC38% Draw24% Luton Town FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Luton Town FC
62%
Newcastle United FC or Luton Town FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC29% Draw38% Luton Town FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.