Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
John McGinn 17' 1–0
Moussa Diaby 49' 2–0
Tom Lockyer og 62' 3–0
3–1 83' Emiliano Martinez og

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Aston Villa FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
22 Oct West Ham United FC H 4–1 W
08 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
21 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
07 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Aston Villa FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC61% Draw21% Luton Town FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Luton Town FC
39%
Aston Villa FC or Luton Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw40% Luton Town FC16%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.