Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
John McGinn 17' 1–0
Moussa Diaby 49' 2–0
Tom Lockyer og 62' 3–0
3–1 83' Emiliano Martinez og

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
9 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

2
Aston Villa FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
22 Oct West Ham United FC H 4–1 W
08 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
21 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
07 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The 27-year-old Moussa Diaby has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 17' John McGinn has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolo Zaniolo is booked for Aston Villa FC — Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Douglas Luiz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 46 minute. Nicolo Zaniolo leaves to be changed by Leon Bailey.
  • 49' Moussa Diaby has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 51' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Matty Cash gets a Yellow card.
  • 53' Luton Town FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Gabriel Osho as he leaves the pitch. Andros Townsend steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 58' Tahith Chong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Brown on 58 minute.
  • 62' Against the run of play, Tom Lockyer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' Goal! Tom Lockyer scores his 15 goal in 291 matches.
  • 68' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Boubacar Kamara.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alfie Doughty.
  • 76' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Marvelous Nakamba by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on 76 minute.
  • 79' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan John Giles is hanging Alfie Doughty on the field on 79 minute.
  • 83' Emiliano Martinez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the goalkeeper.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marvelous Nakamba made 363 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 89' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Douglas Luiz by Leander Dendoncker on 89 minute.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Moussa Diaby is replaced by Bertrand Traore on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Aston Villa FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC61% Draw21% Luton Town FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Luton Town FC
39%
Aston Villa FC or Luton Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw40% Luton Town FC16%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.