Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Rasmus Hojlund
Douglas Luiz 67' 1–1
1–2 86' Scott McTominay

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
26 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
14 Jan Everton FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester United FC
#10 Position #18
13 Points 8
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 5 / 4
14 Scored 14
17 Conceded 19
-3 GD -5
1.30 PPG 0.80
30% Win % 10%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Manchester United FC are 18th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/5
61-75
3/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 4 G 2 A
Bryan Mbeumo 4 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Manchester United FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC32% Draw23% Manchester United FC45%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Manchester United FC
68%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC28% Draw38% Manchester United FC34%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 18% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.