Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Rasmus Hojlund
Douglas Luiz 67' 1–1
1–2 86' Scott McTominay

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Richard West

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
26 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
14 Jan Everton FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester United FC
#11 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Manchester United FC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.73 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC22% Draw31% Manchester United FC47%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Manchester United FC
78%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester United FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC15% Draw54% Manchester United FC31%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
0 – 1
16%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 4
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 25% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
48%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.