Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Rasmus Hojlund
Douglas Luiz 67' 1–1
1–2 86' Scott McTominay

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
26 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
14 Jan Everton FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester United FC
#16 Position #12
4 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
4 Scored 8
9 Conceded 8
-5 GD +0
0.80 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Manchester United FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 3 G 1 A
Bryan Mbeumo 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Villa Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' Manchester United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 17' Magnificent from Rasmus Hojlund! That is 42 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' A quiet spell here at Villa Park. Manchester United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' Manchester United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' Casemiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 37.
  • 42' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Manchester United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 45' Kobbie Mainoo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' Another change for Manchester United FC made on 46 minute. Luke Shaw leaves to be changed by Victor Nilsson-Lindelof.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' The 33-year-old Lucas Digne has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 60' Matty Cash picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 65' Aston Villa FC make a change. Boubacar Kamara trudges off to be replaced by Moussa Diaby on 65 minutes.
  • 67' What a strike from Douglas Luiz! The score is 1-1.
  • 71' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 71.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Moussa Diaby argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 73' Youri Tielemans has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leon Bailey on 73 minute.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 82' The Manchester United FC manager makes a substitution. Marcus Rashford departs to be replaced by Scott McTominay.
  • 86' Scott McTominay does the damage! The net is bulging and Manchester United FC surge ahead!
  • 87' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. John McGinn is replaced by Lucas Digne.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Alex Moreno as he leaves the pitch. Nicolo Zaniolo steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 90' The Manchester United FC manager makes a substitution. Rasmus Hojlund departs to be replaced by Jonny Evans.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Aston Villa FC 1-2 Manchester United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.26 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC22% Draw23% Manchester United FC55%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Manchester United FC
78%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC18% Draw39% Manchester United FC43%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 21% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 18% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.