Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Aston Villa FC
4 – 2
Full Time
Nottingham Forest FC
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 4' 1–0
Douglas Luiz 29' 2–0
Douglas Luiz 39' 3–0
3–1 45+5' Moussa Niakhate
3–2 48' Morgan Gibbs-White
Leon Bailey 61' 4–2
Y 15' Murillo
Y 45' Luis Felipe Monteiro
Alex Moreno 57' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Manchester City FC 5 15
2 Arsenal FC 5 12
3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 5 10
4 Brentford FC 5 9
5 Leeds United FC 5 9
6 Liverpool FC 5 9
7 Everton FC 5 9
8 Hull City AFC 5 8
9 Newcastle United FC 5 8
10 Chelsea FC 5 7
11 Ipswich Town FC 5 6
12 Manchester United FC 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest FC 5 5
14 Sunderland AFC 5 4
15 Crystal Palace FC 5 4
16 Aston Villa FC 5 4
17 AFC Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry City FC 5 3
19 Fulham FC 5 2
20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 5 2

Head-to-Head

6
3
4
Aston Villa FC 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals Nottingham Forest FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-24 Aston Villa FC 4–2 Nottingham Forest FC 2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC 2023-04-08 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2022-10-10 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC 2019-03-13 Nottingham Forest FC 1–3 Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

Aston Villa FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
Nottingham Forest FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–4 L
17 Feb West Ham United FC H 2–0 W
10 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–3 L
07 Feb Bristol City FC H 5–3 W
04 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
30 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Nottingham Forest FC
#16 Position #13
4 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
4 Scored 4
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD -1
0.80 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Villa Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 4' Ollie Watkins doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 9' Neco Williams needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 14' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Murillo.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Brilliant from the ! Douglas Luiz makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 29.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' Douglas Luiz makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
  • 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Unai Emery might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Luis Felipe Monteiro.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Pau Torres as he leaves the pitch. Calum Chambers steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Morgan Gibbs-White makes it 3-1.
  • 50' The Senegal Moussa Niakhate breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 3-2!
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 59' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Alex Moreno exits the field as Lucas Digne enters on 59.
  • 61' Goal! Leon Bailey scores his 45 goal in 543 matches.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 374 games and scored 435 goals.
  • 71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Nicolas Dominguez as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Yates steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' Gio Reyna is ready to make an impact after coming on for Morgan Gibbs-White at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Moussa Diaby on, Leon Bailey off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Aston Villa FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Unai Emery

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nuno Espírito Santo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tammy Abraham 4
John McGinn 4
Ollie Watkins 3
Douglas Luiz 2
Lewis Grabban 2
Jota Silva 1
Morgan Gibbs-White 1
Donyell Malen 1

Head to Head

2024-02-24 Aston Villa FC 4–2 Nottingham Forest FC 2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC 2023-04-08 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2022-10-10 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC 2019-03-13 Nottingham Forest FC 1–3 Aston Villa FC

Aston Villa FC Form

2024-02-24 Aston Villa FC 4–2 Nottingham Forest FC W 2024-02-17 Fulham FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC W 2024-02-11 Aston Villa FC 1–2 Manchester United FC L 2024-02-07 Aston Villa FC 1–3 Chelsea FC L 2024-02-03 Sheffield United FC 0–5 Aston Villa FC W 2024-01-30 Aston Villa FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2024-02-24 Aston Villa FC 4–2 Nottingham Forest FC L 2024-02-17 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 West Ham United FC W 2024-02-10 Nottingham Forest FC 2–3 Newcastle United FC L 2024-02-07 Nottingham Forest FC 5–3 Bristol City FC W 2024-02-04 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D 2024-01-30 Nottingham Forest FC 1–2 Arsenal FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC45% Draw26% Nottingham Forest FC29%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
55%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC30% Draw45% Nottingham Forest FC25%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.