Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 4' 1–0
Douglas Luiz 29' 2–0
Douglas Luiz 39' 3–0
3–1 45+5' Moussa Niakhate
3–2 48' Morgan Gibbs-White
Leon Bailey 61' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–4 L
17 Feb West Ham United FC H 2–0 W
10 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–3 L
07 Feb Bristol City FC H 5–3 W
04 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
30 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Nottingham Forest FC
#11 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC46% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
54%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC28% Draw53% Nottingham Forest FC19%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 23% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.