Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 4' 1–0
Douglas Luiz 29' 2–0
Douglas Luiz 39' 3–0
3–1 45+5' Moussa Niakhate
3–2 48' Morgan Gibbs-White
Leon Bailey 61' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–4 L
17 Feb West Ham United FC H 2–0 W
10 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–3 L
07 Feb Bristol City FC H 5–3 W
04 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
30 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Nottingham Forest FC
#11 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Villa Park as Aston Villa FC face off against Nottingham Forest FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 4' What a strike from Ollie Watkins! The score is 1-0.
  • 9' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 14' Matty Cash has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Murillo.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Unai Emery might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' Against the run of play, Douglas Luiz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' Douglas Luiz adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Nottingham Forest FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Luis Felipe Monteiro on 45 minutes earns him a card. Nottingham Forest FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Pau Torres makes way for Calum Chambers at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 48' Assisted by Divock Origi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Morgan Gibbs-White makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 50' Magnificent from Moussa Niakhate! That is 12 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 57' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a card on 57.
  • 59' Lucas Digne has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Moreno on 59 minute.
  • 61' What a moment for Leon Bailey! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' The travelling Nottingham Forest FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 71' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Nicolas Dominguez is replaced by Ryan Yates.
  • 78' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 81' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 81 minute. Morgan Gibbs-White leaves to be changed by Gio Reyna.
  • 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Moussa Diaby comes on to replace Leon Bailey.
  • Aston Villa FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC46% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
54%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC28% Draw53% Nottingham Forest FC19%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 23% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.