Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Barrott (England)
- Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
- Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
7 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 14.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | Fulham FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | Manchester United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Feb | Chelsea FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 30 Jan | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Aston Villa FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 Feb | West Ham United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 04 Feb | AFC Bournemouth | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jan | Arsenal FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 9 |
| 17 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | -4 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 0.90 |
| 30% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
10%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 6 G | 1 A |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 3 A |
| Alysson | 2 G |
Nottingham Forest FC
| Liam Delap | 3 G | |
| Dan Ndoye | 2 G | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC is underway.
- 4' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ollie Watkins on 4.
- 9' Aston Villa FC have won 524 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Nottingham Forest FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 29' What a moment for Douglas Luiz! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 382 games and scored 443 goals.
- 39' What a moment for Douglas Luiz! That strike on 39 puts his side firmly in control.
- 44' Neco Williams has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' Nottingham Forest FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Calum Chambers is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pau Torres at the 46 minute mark.
- 48' Morgan Gibbs-White makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Nottingham Forest FC are in front.
- 50' Moussa Niakhate adds to his 0 season tally! Nottingham Forest FC lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
- 55' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 57' The referee calls foul for Alex Moreno. He receives a card.
- 59' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Alex Moreno is replaced by Lucas Digne on 59 minute.
- 61' A goal from the Jamaica international Leon Bailey! He fires home on 61 to make it 4-2!
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 71' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Youri Tielemans has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 73' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FC — Ryan Yates on, Nicolas Dominguez off on 73 minutes.
- 78' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 81' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 81 minute. Morgan Gibbs-White leaves to be changed by Gio Reyna.
- 86' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Leon Bailey is withdrawn and Moussa Diaby gets his opportunity.
- Full Time. Aston Villa FC beats Nottingham Forest FC
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 2
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Morgan Rogers 90'
- 7
- 8
-
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Moussa Diaby 90'
- 6
- 17
-
14
Pau Torres ↓ Calum Chambers 46'
-
15
Alex Moreno ↓ Lucas Digne 59'
- 41
Bench
-
27
Morgan Rogers ↑ 90'
-
12
Lucas Digne ↑ 59'
-
16
Calum Chambers ↑ 46'
-
19
Moussa Diaby ↑ 90'
-
22
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 81'
- 25
- 18
- 47
- 29
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
10
Morgan Gibbs-White ↓ Gio Reyna 81'
- 26
- 19
-
9
Taiwo Awoniyi ↓ Divock Origi 46'
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Ryan Yates 73'
- 7
- 28
- 21
-
40
Murillo ↓ Harry Toffolo 46'
- 18
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 46'
- 8
-
22
Ryan Yates ↑ 73'
-
15
Harry Toffolo ↑ 46'
- 1
- 29
-
20
Gio Reyna ↑ 81'
-
32
Andrew Omobamidele ↑ 46'
- 37
Coach
Nuno Espírito Santo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Ola Aina | 1 |
| Jota Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2024-02-24
Aston Villa FC
4–2
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2024-02-17
Nottingham Forest FC
2–0
West Ham United FC
W
2024-02-10
Nottingham Forest FC
2–3
Newcastle United FC
L
2024-02-07
Nottingham Forest FC
5–3
Bristol City FC
W
2024-02-04
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2024-01-30
Nottingham Forest FC
1–2
Arsenal FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
48%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.