Friday , 9 October 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Anton Stach

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
24 May AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
17 May Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
10 May Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
07 May Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L
04 May Chelsea FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Nottingham Forest FC A 1–0 W
24 May West Ham United FC A 0–3 L
17 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–1 D
01 May Burnley FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Chelsea FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Leeds United FC
#13 Position #5
5 Points 9
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
4 Scored 7
5 Conceded 3
-1 GD +4
1.00 PPG 1.80
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G
Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.73 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Leeds United FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC27% Draw34% Leeds United FC39%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Leeds United FC
73%
Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC16% Draw58% Leeds United FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
1 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 24% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.