Monday , 12 October 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Anton Stach

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
24 May AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
17 May Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
10 May Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
07 May Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L
04 May Chelsea FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Nottingham Forest FC A 1–0 W
24 May West Ham United FC A 0–3 L
17 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–1 D
01 May Burnley FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Chelsea FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Leeds United FC
#15 Position #7
5 Points 9
6 Played 6
1 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 1
5 Scored 8
8 Conceded 5
-3 GD +3
0.83 PPG 1.50
17% Win % 33%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 15th (5 pts). Leeds United FC are 7th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Dan Ndoye 2 G
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.81 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC27% Draw33% Leeds United FC40%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Leeds United FC
73%
Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC17% Draw56% Leeds United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 17% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 23% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.