Wednesday , 28 October 2026

Leeds United FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Elland Road 36,693 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Miley og 32' 1–0
Jayden Bogle 34' 2–0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45+1' 3–0
Noah Okafor 59' 4–0
4–1 90' Bazoumana Toure

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Adam Nunn
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–4 L
05 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
29 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Liverpool FC H 2–2 D
24 May Fulham FC A 0–2 L
17 May West Ham United FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Leeds United FC Newcastle United FC
#7 Position #8
11 Points 11
8 Played 8
2 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 3
9 Scored 12
6 Conceded 14
+3 GD -2
1.38 PPG 1.38
25% Win % 38%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Leeds United FC are 7th (11 pts). Newcastle United FC are 8th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G
Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC57% Draw24% Newcastle United FC19%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
43%
Leeds United FC or Newcastle United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC41% Draw44% Newcastle United FC15%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3%
4 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.