Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | FC Tokyo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–4 | L |
| 06 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 11 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 4 G | 1 A |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Kashima Soccer Stadium as Kashima Antlers face off against Sagan Tosu FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Kashima Antlers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 18' A goal from the Japan international Kimito Nono! He fires home on 18 to make it 1-0!
- 23' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 33' So Kawahara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 38' Hikaru Nakahara was booked on 38.
- 42' Akito Fukuta was booked on 42.
- 46' Kento Nishiya makes way for So Kawahara at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Shu Morooka.
- 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for So Kawahara.
- 53' Brilliant from the ! Hayato Nakama makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 53.
- 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Hiroshi Kiyotake is replaced by Cayman Togashi.
- 62' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 74' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Akito Fukuta departs to be replaced by Vykintas Slivka.
- 78' Yuta Higuchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gaku Shibasaki at the 78 minute mark.
- 79' Koki Anzai makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Kashima Antlers are in front.
- 84' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Wataru Harada departs to be replaced by Yoshiki Narahara.
- 87' Radomir Milosavljevic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shintaro Nago on 87 minute.
- 89' Kashima Antlers ring the changes. Kimito Nono has done his job and it is now time for Hidehiro Sugai to step up.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Gaku Shibasaki ↓ Yuta Higuchi 78'
- 55
- 6
- 2
- 40
- 30
- 5
- 33
- 1
-
36
Shu Morooka ↓ Guilherme Parede 87'
-
32
Kimito Nono ↓ Hidehiro Sugai 89'
Bench
-
4
Radomir Milosavljevic ↑ 87'
-
14
Yuta Higuchi ↑ 78'
-
77
Guilherme Parede ↑ 87'
- 15
- 31
-
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 89'
- 41
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Vykintas Slivka 74'
- 55
- 99
- 16
- 71
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuki Horigome 84'
- 42
- 2
- 13
-
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↓ Seiji Kimura 74'
-
33
Kento Nishiya ↓ So Kawahara 46'
Bench
-
3
Seiji Kimura ↑ 74'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 60'
-
77
Vykintas Slivka ↑ 74'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 84'
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 84'
-
5
So Kawahara ↑ 46'
- 51
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Masaya Tashiro | 2 |
| Kimito Nono | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
| Keita Yamashita | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
47%
Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

