Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
2 – 2
Full Time
Kashima Antlers
Sat 27 May 2023 · 08:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,272 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kentaro Moriya 27' 1–0
1–1 34' Shintaro Nago
Yuji Ono 69' 2–1
2–2 90' Yuma Suzuki
Masaya Tashiro 66' Y
Y 77' Kaishu Sano
Y 80' Yuta Higuchi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Kentaro Matsui

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

3
5
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Kashima Antlers
Last 5 meetings
2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
20 May Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
14 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
10 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–0 W
07 May Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L
Kashima Antlers
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–2 D
20 May FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
14 May Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
07 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
03 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
29 Apr Gamba Osaka H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' Against the run of play, Kentaro Moriya has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 28' What a moment for Kentaro Moriya! That strike on 28 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 33' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Kashima Antlers's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 34' Against the run of play, Shintaro Nago has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hayato Nakama suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaishu Sano, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 54' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' Kaishu Sano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Nakama on 58 minute.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Horigome. He replaces Kentaro Moriya on 61 minute.
  • 62' Yuki Horigome is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kentaro Moriya at the 62 minute mark.
  • 66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Masaya Tashiro.
  • 67' A change in the Kashima Antlers ranks — Shintaro Nago exits the field as Shoma Doi enters on 67.
  • 69' Goal! Tomoki Hayakawa scores his 0 goal in 447 matches.
  • 70' What a moment for Yuji Ono! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Atsushi Kawata comes on to replace Yuji Ono.
  • 76' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 77' A change in the Kashima Antlers ranks — Diego Pituca exits the field as Itsuki Someno enters on 77.
  • 77' Kashima Antlers receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 78' Kashima Antlers ring the changes. Diego Pituca has done his job and it is now time for Itsuki Someno to step up.
  • 80' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yuta Higuchi.
  • 85' Arthur Caike has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 88' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Hwang Seokho comes on to replace Shinya Nakano.
  • 90' Goal! Yuma Suzuki scores his 96 goal in 447 matches.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashima Antlers Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daiki Iwamasa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kimito Nono 2
Yuta Higuchi 2
Keita Yamashita 2
Yuma Suzuki 2
Ayase Ueda 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Marcelo Ryan 2
Ryohei Shirasaki 2

Head to Head

2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers D 2023-05-20 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Albirex Niigata W 2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Kashima Antlers Form

2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers D 2023-05-20 Kashima Antlers 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-05-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Kashima Antlers W 2023-05-03 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Kashima Antlers W 2023-04-29 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Gamba Osaka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw28% Kashima Antlers33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw46% Kashima Antlers26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.