Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Sat 27 May 2023 · 08:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,272 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kentaro Moriya 27' 1–0

1–1 34' Shintaro Nago

Yuji Ono 69' 2–1

2–2 90' Yuma Suzuki

Masaya Tashiro 66' Y

Y 77' Kaishu Sano

Y 80' Yuta Higuchi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
Assistant 2 Kentaro Matsui

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 May	Kashima Antlers	H	2–2	D
20 May	Albirex Niigata	H	2–0	W
14 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–0	D
10 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–0	W
07 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
03 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–2	D
20 May	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
14 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–0	W
07 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
03 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
29 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

4/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/7

61-75

4/–

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	13 G
Aleksandar Cavric	7 G	1 A
Elber	3 G	2 A
Yuma Suzuki	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — let the football do the talking.
5' Arthur Caike needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
10' Kashima Antlers come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
15' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' Koki Anzai, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naomichi Ueda suffering a number of foals already.
27' Goal! Kentaro Moriya scores his 1 goal in 452 matches.
28' Kentaro Moriya with the second goal in the match!
33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
34' Shintaro Nago has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
39' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
49' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
54' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 54 minutes.
58' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Kaishu Sano on, Hayato Nakama off on 58 minutes.
61' Yuki Horigome is replacing Kentaro Moriya for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
62' The crowd applauds Kentaro Moriya as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Horigome steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
66' Masaya Tashiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
67' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 67 minute. Shintaro Nago leaves to be changed by Shoma Doi.
69' What a moment for Tomoki Hayakawa! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuji Ono makes it 4-1.
71' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Atsushi Kawata steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
77' A change in the Kashima Antlers ranks — Diego Pituca exits the field as Itsuki Someno enters on 77.
77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kaishu Sano.
78' Itsuki Someno is replacing Diego Pituca for the Kashima Antlers side.
80' The referee has no hesitation. Yuta Higuchi is booked for Kashima Antlers — Yellow card on 80.
85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
88' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Shinya Nakano exits the field as Hwang Seokho enters on 88.
90' Magnificent from Yuma Suzuki! That is 98 goals in 460 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashima Antlers Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

3
Gen Shoji
31
Yuya Oki
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 67'
17
Arthur Caike ↑ 67'
18
Itsuki Someno ↑ 77'
–
Keigo Tsunemoto ↑ 78'
25
Kaishu Sano ↑ 58'

Coach Daiki Iwamasa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Yamashita	2
Yuma Suzuki	2
Ayase Ueda	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers D 2023-05-20 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Albirex Niigata W 2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Kashima Antlers Form

2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers D 2023-05-20 Kashima Antlers 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-05-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Kashima Antlers W 2023-05-03 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Kashima Antlers W 2023-04-29 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Gamba Osaka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.44 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw28% Kashima Antlers33%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

61%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw46% Kashima Antlers26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

2 – 1

8.3%

0 – 0

1 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

7.8%

0 – 1

7.3%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

5.5%

3 – 1

1 – 3

3.5%

3 – 0

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	18%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.