Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Kentaro Matsui
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 11 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 4 G | 1 A |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Kashima Antlers.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Kashima Antlers come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Japan international Yuma Suzuki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kashima Antlers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 27' GOAL! Kentaro Moriya fires home to make it 1-0!
- 28' Against the run of play, Kentaro Moriya has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' GOAL! Shintaro Nago scores on 34.
- 39' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kashima Antlers backline.
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arthur Caike is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 58' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Kaishu Sano on, Hayato Nakama off on 58 minutes.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Horigome is hanging Kentaro Moriya on the field on 61 minute.
- 62' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kentaro Moriya is replaced by Yuki Horigome.
- 66' Masaya Tashiro was booked on 66.
- 67' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Shoma Doi on, Shintaro Nago off on 67 minutes.
- 69' Magnificent from Tomoki Hayakawa! That is 0 goals in 451 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 70' Yuji Ono doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 71' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Atsushi Kawata steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 77' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Diego Pituca departs to be replaced by Itsuki Someno.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Kaishu Sano argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 78' Diego Pituca makes way for Itsuki Someno at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
- 80' Yuta Higuchi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 80.
- 85' Kohei Tezuka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashima Antlers tonight.
- 88' Hwang Seokho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shinya Nakano on 88 minute.
- 90' The Japan Yuma Suzuki breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 4-2!
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Yuki Horigome 62'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 71'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 88'
- 29
-
13
Shinya Nakano ↓ Hwang Seokho 88'
- 30
- 24
- 71
- 23
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 88'
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↑ 88'
- 4
- 41
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 71'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 62'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
-
21
Diego Pituca ↓ Itsuki Someno 77'
- 2
- 40
-
30
Shintaro Nago ↓ Shoma Doi 67'
- 5
- 14
-
22
Rikuto Hirose ↓ Keigo Tsunemoto 78'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Kaishu Sano 58'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Arthur Caike 67'
- 29
Bench
- 3
- 31
-
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 67'
-
17
Arthur Caike ↑ 67'
-
18
Itsuki Someno ↑ 77'
-
–
Keigo Tsunemoto ↑ 78'
-
25
Kaishu Sano ↑ 58'
Coach
Daiki Iwamasa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 2 |
| Masaya Tashiro | 2 |
| Kimito Nono | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers 72% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

