Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 27 May 2023 · 08:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,272 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kentaro Moriya 27' 1–0
1–1 34' Shintaro Nago
Yuji Ono 69' 2–1
2–2 90' Yuma Suzuki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Kentaro Matsui

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
20 May Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
14 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
10 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–0 W
07 May Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–2 D
20 May FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
14 May Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
07 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
03 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
29 Apr Gamba Osaka H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 11 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Kashima Antlers.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Kashima Antlers come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Japan international Yuma Suzuki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kashima Antlers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' GOAL! Kentaro Moriya fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 28' Against the run of play, Kentaro Moriya has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' GOAL! Shintaro Nago scores on 34.
  • 39' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kashima Antlers backline.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arthur Caike is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Kaishu Sano on, Hayato Nakama off on 58 minutes.
  • 61' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Horigome is hanging Kentaro Moriya on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kentaro Moriya is replaced by Yuki Horigome.
  • 66' Masaya Tashiro was booked on 66.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Shoma Doi on, Shintaro Nago off on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Magnificent from Tomoki Hayakawa! That is 0 goals in 451 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' Yuji Ono doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Atsushi Kawata steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Diego Pituca departs to be replaced by Itsuki Someno.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Kaishu Sano argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 78' Diego Pituca makes way for Itsuki Someno at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
  • 80' Yuta Higuchi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 80.
  • 85' Kohei Tezuka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashima Antlers tonight.
  • 88' Hwang Seokho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shinya Nakano on 88 minute.
  • 90' The Japan Yuma Suzuki breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 4-2!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw28% Kashima Antlers33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw46% Kashima Antlers26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.