Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 4
Full Time
Kashiwa Reysol
Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Tae-hyeon Kim 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
22 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L
31 May FC Tokyo H 0–1 L
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Sagan Tosu FC A 4–1 W
26 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–2 D
22 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
16 Jun Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
02 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–2 L
29 May Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–4 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiji Shirai, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Taiyo Koga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashiwa Reysol is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Kosuke Kinoshita. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Yuto Yamada has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Shimamura to step up.
  • 62' The Brazil Matheus Savio breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 1-1!
  • 64' What composure from Matheus Savio! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by So Kawahara on 65 minute.
  • 66' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 66 minute. Yuki Horigome leaves to be changed by Ayumu Yokoyama.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' Against the run of play, Kosuke Kinoshita has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Hikaru Nakahara on, Cayman Togashi off on 74 minutes.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Tae-hyeon Kim argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 80' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Mao Hosoya trudges off to be replaced by Kazuki Kumasawa on 80 minutes.
  • 81' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vinicius Araujo is hanging Katsunori Ueebisu on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' Matheus Savio makes way for Hiromu Mitsumaru at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashiwa Reysol.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol share the spoils 1-4.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Masami Ihara

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Daichi Hayashi 4
Matheus Savio 4
Tomoya Koyamatsu 3
Yoichi Naganuma 2
Michael Olunga 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Marcelo Ryan 2
Kosuke Kinoshita 2

Head to Head

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tokyo L 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-06-26 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–2 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-06-22 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-02 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2024-05-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 4–0 Kashiwa Reysol L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw28% Kashiwa Reysol40%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw45% Kashiwa Reysol30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.