Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 4
Full Time
Kashiwa Reysol
Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Tae-hyeon Kim 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
22 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L
31 May FC Tōkyō H 0–1 L
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Sagan Tosu FC A 4–1 W
26 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–2 D
22 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
16 Jun Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
02 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–2 L
29 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–4 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol.
  • 5' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' It’s high time Masami Ihara made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Tomoya Koyamatsu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akito Fukuta suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' Sagan Tosu FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marcelo Ryan on 37.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Kosuke Kinoshita is replacing Tomoya Koyamatsu for the Kashiwa Reysol side.
  • 51' Kashiwa Reysol seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mao Hosoya, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 57' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuya Shimamura is hanging Yuto Yamada on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' What an equalizer from Matheus Savio!
  • 64' Sensational shot from Matheus Savio. Kashiwa Reysol is back in the lead.
  • 65' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by So Kawahara.
  • 66' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 66 minute. Yuki Horigome leaves to be changed by Ayumu Yokoyama.
  • 71' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 72' What a strike from Kosuke Kinoshita! The score is 1-3.
  • 74' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hikaru Nakahara is hanging Cayman Togashi on the field on 74 minute.
  • 78' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Mao Hosoya is replaced by Kazuki Kumasawa on 80 minute.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Katsunori Ueebisu is replaced by Vinicius Araujo on 81 minute.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Matheus Savio departs to be replaced by Hiromu Mitsumaru.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Masami Ihara

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Daichi Hayashi 4
Matheus Savio 4
Tomoya Koyamatsu 3
Kosuke Kinoshita 2
Mao Hosoya 2
Yoichi Naganuma 2
Michael Olunga 2
Fuchi Honda 2

Head to Head

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-06-26 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–2 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-06-22 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-02 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2024-05-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 4–0 Kashiwa Reysol L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw28% Kashiwa Reysol40%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw45% Kashiwa Reysol30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.