Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
22 Jun Kyōto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L
31 May FC Tōkyō H 0–1 L
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Sagan Tosu FC A 4–1 W
26 Jun Kyōto Sanga FC A 2–2 D
22 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
16 Jun Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
02 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–2 L
29 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–4 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
Yusuke Segawa 6 G 2 A
Yoshio Koizumi 3 G 2 A
Tojiro Kubo 2 G 1 A
Keita Endo 2 G
Yuki Kakita 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol has kicked off!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Hiroki Noda is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takuya Shimamura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Kosuke Kinoshita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 35' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' What a moment for Marcelo Ryan! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 42' Kashiwa Reysol come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Tomoya Koyamatsu has done his job and it is now time for Kosuke Kinoshita to step up.
  • 51' It’s high time Masami Ihara made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Katsunori Ueebisu, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Yuto Yamada as he leaves the pitch. Takuya Shimamura steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
  • 62' Matheus Savio adds to his 4 season tally! Kashiwa Reysol lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' The deadlock is broken! Matheus Savio gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
  • 65' So Kawahara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 65 minute mark.
  • 66' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuki Horigome is withdrawn and Ayumu Yokoyama gets his opportunity.
  • 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' Kosuke Kinoshita is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 74' Hikaru Nakahara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cayman Togashi on 74 minute.
  • 78' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 78.
  • 80' Kazuki Kumasawa gets the nod from Kashiwa Reysol. He replaces Mao Hosoya and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Katsunori Ueebisu exits the field as Vinicius Araujo enters on 81.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kohei Tezuka made 418 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Matheus Savio exits the field as Hiromu Mitsumaru enters on 88.
  • Kashiwa Reysol celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw28% Kashiwa Reysol40%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw45% Kashiwa Reysol30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.