Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
4 – 2
Full Time
Kashima Antlers
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcelo Ryan 38' Y
Shiva Nagasawa 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

3
5
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Kashima Antlers
Last 5 meetings
2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
Kashima Antlers
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 2–4 L
13 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
07 Apr FC Tōkyō A 0–2 L
03 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
30 Mar Jubilo Iwata H 1–0 W
17 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Il-kyu Park suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 11' GOAL! Kimito Nono scores on 11. Assisted by Aleksandar Cavric
  • 16' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 21' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Shu Morooka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' Kei Chinen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' What a strike from So Kawahara! The score is 1-1.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcelo Ryan on 38.
  • 43' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 46 minute. Yuta Higuchi leaves to be changed by Shu Morooka.
  • 48' Sensational shot from Marcelo Ryan. Sagan Tosu FC is back in the lead.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a card for Shiva Nagasawa.
  • 64' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 71' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 71 minute. Kei Chinen leaves to be changed by Shintaro Nago.
  • 72' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 72 minute. Taichi Kikuchi leaves to be changed by Akito Fukuta.
  • 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashima Antlers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayumu Yokoyama is hanging Yusuke Maruhashi on the field on 79 minute.
  • 80' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan scores on 80. Assisted by Ayumu Yokoyama
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' What a strike from Yuma Suzuki! The score is 3-2.
  • 87' The whistle greets Kimito Nono as he departs to be replaced by Guilherme Parede.
  • 88' Goal! Akito Fukuta scores his 6 goal in 279 matches.
  • 88' The whistle greets Ikuma Sekigawa as he departs to be replaced by Hidehiro Sugai.
  • 90' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 90 minute. Marcelo Ryan leaves to be changed by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
  • The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ranko Popovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Marcelo Ryan 2
Ryohei Shirasaki 2
Masaya Tashiro 2
Kimito Nono 2
Yuta Higuchi 2
Keita Yamashita 2
Yuma Suzuki 2

Head to Head

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L

Kashima Antlers Form

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-13 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-04-07 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2024-03-30 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Jubilo Iwata W 2024-03-17 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw25% Kashima Antlers27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw43% Kashima Antlers21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.