Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | Júbilo Iwata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
4/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/7
61-75
4/–
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 13 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 7 G | 1 A |
| Elber | 3 G | 2 A |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Kashima Antlers.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 11' Magnificent from Kimito Nono! That is 15 goals in 458 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 16' Kashima Antlers come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' What a strike from So Kawahara! The score is 1-1.
- 35' Kohei Tezuka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
- 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cayman Togashi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 46' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Yuta Higuchi is replaced by Shu Morooka.
- 48' Sensational shot from Marcelo Ryan. Sagan Tosu FC is back in the lead.
- 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 58' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kashima Antlers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Shiva Nagasawa.
- 64' Kashima Antlers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 71' Kei Chinen makes way for Shintaro Nago at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
- 72' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Taichi Kikuchi by Akito Fukuta on 72 minute.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ikuma Sekigawa made 458 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 79' Yusuke Maruhashi makes way for Ayumu Yokoyama at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 80' Marcelo Ryan makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
- 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' A goal from the Japan international Yuma Suzuki! He fires home on 86 to make it 3-2!
- 87' Kashima Antlers make a change. Kimito Nono trudges off to be replaced by Guilherme Parede on 87 minutes.
- 88' GOAL! Akito Fukuta scores on 88. Assisted by Marcelo Ryan
- 88' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Ikuma Sekigawa is replaced by Hidehiro Sugai on 88 minute.
- 90' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Marcelo Ryan by Ryonosuke Kabayama on 90 minute.
- Kashima Antlers will have plenty to reflect on. Sagan Tosu FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 90'
- 28
- 99
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Akito Fukuta 72'
- 2
- 5
- 34
- 20
Bench
- 11
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 72'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 90'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 90'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 79'
- 18
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
13
Kei Chinen ↓ Shintaro Nago 71'
- 55
- 2
- 40
- 7
-
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Hidehiro Sugai 88'
-
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Shu Morooka 46'
- 15
- 1
- 25
-
32
Kimito Nono ↓ Guilherme Parede 87'
Bench
-
4
Radomir Milosavljevic ↑ 71'
-
30
Shintaro Nago ↑ 71'
-
77
Guilherme Parede ↑ 87'
- 29
- 33
-
36
Shu Morooka ↑ 46'
-
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 88'
Coach
Ranko Popović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 2 |
| Masaya Tashiro | 2 |
| Kimito Nono | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.