Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
4 – 2
Full Time
Kashima Antlers
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcelo Ryan 38' Y
Shiva Nagasawa 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

3
5
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Kashima Antlers
Last 5 meetings
2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
Kashima Antlers
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 2–4 L
13 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
07 Apr FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
03 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
30 Mar Jubilo Iwata H 1–0 W
17 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers get this one started.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 11' Kimito Nono does the damage! The net is bulging and Kashima Antlers surge ahead!
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' It looks surprising Kashima Antlers does not make any changes. Guilherme Parede has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' So Kawahara has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Il-kyu Park, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' Shu Morooka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuta Higuchi on 46 minute.
  • 48' Marcelo Ryan adds to his 3 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 53' Yuta Higuchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashima Antlers tonight.
  • 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' Poor challenge from Shiva Nagasawa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 71' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 71 minute. Kei Chinen leaves to be changed by Shintaro Nago.
  • 72' The whistle greets Taichi Kikuchi as he departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
  • 77' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayumu Yokoyama is hanging Yusuke Maruhashi on the field on 79 minute.
  • 80' What a moment for Marcelo Ryan! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 85' Kei Chinen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 39 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 86' What a moment for Yuma Suzuki! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Guilherme Parede on, Kimito Nono off on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Akito Fukuta makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Ikuma Sekigawa is replaced by Hidehiro Sugai on 88 minute.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ryonosuke Kabayama on, Marcelo Ryan off on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ranko Popovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Marcelo Ryan 2
Ryohei Shirasaki 2
Masaya Tashiro 2
Kimito Nono 2
Yuta Higuchi 2
Keita Yamashita 2
Yuma Suzuki 2

Head to Head

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L

Kashima Antlers Form

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-13 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-04-07 FC Tokyo 2–0 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2024-03-30 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Jubilo Iwata W 2024-03-17 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw25% Kashima Antlers27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw43% Kashima Antlers21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.