Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
4 – 2
Full Time
Kashima Antlers
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcelo Ryan 38' Y
Shiva Nagasawa 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

3
5
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Kashima Antlers
Last 5 meetings
2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
Kashima Antlers
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 2–4 L
13 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
07 Apr FC Tōkyō A 0–2 L
03 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
30 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 1–0 W
17 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 11 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Kashima Antlers does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashima Antlers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Tae-hyeon Kim, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 11' GOAL! Kimito Nono fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kashima Antlers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 21' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' The Japan So Kawahara breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 1-1!
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Marcelo Ryan. He receives a card.
  • 43' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Shu Morooka comes on to replace Yuta Higuchi.
  • 48' What composure from Marcelo Ryan! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 53' Cayman Togashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 444 appearances.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taichi Kikuchi made 279 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Shiva Nagasawa is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 64' The 36-year-old Il-kyu Park has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 69' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kashima Antlers's shape.
  • 71' Shintaro Nago is replacing Kei Chinen for the Kashima Antlers side.
  • 72' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Taichi Kikuchi has done his job and it is now time for Akito Fukuta to step up.
  • 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 79' Yusuke Maruhashi makes way for Ayumu Yokoyama at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 80' Marcelo Ryan doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 85' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 86' GOAL! Yuma Suzuki fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 87' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Guilherme Parede on, Kimito Nono off on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Akito Fukuta makes it 4-2.
  • 88' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Hidehiro Sugai comes on to replace Ikuma Sekigawa.
  • 90' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Marcelo Ryan trudges off to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ranko Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Keita Yamashita 2
Yuma Suzuki 2
Ayase Ueda 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Marcelo Ryan 2
Ryohei Shirasaki 2
Masaya Tashiro 2
Kimito Nono 2

Head to Head

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L

Kashima Antlers Form

2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-13 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2024-04-07 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Kashima Antlers L 2024-04-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2024-03-30 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-03-17 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw25% Kashima Antlers27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw43% Kashima Antlers21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.