Yokohama F.Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Yokohama F.Marinos

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Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 3 Jul 2024 · 10:00 UTC Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 71' Taichi Kikuchi

Overview

Match Preview

Yokohama F.Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium.

Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yuichi Nishimura

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Yokohama F.Marinos 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–1	L
29 Jun	Tokyo Verdy	H	1–2	L
26 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–2	L
23 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
19 Jun	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	3–2	W
15 Jun	FC Machida Zelvia	H	1–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–0	W
30 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–4	L
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
22 Jun	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
16 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–2	L
31 May	FC Tokyo	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

57% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

0-15

3/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/3

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	6 G	1 A
Miidera Shin	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
25' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Taisei Inoue is withdrawn and Yoichi Naganuma gets his opportunity.
30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' Katsunori Ueebisu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
53' Brilliant from the ! Ayumu Yokoyama makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 53.
58' Taichi Kikuchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
60' The supporters are chanting for Ren Kato. He replaces Hijiri Kato on 60 minute.
65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
67' Riku Yamane is replacing Jun Amano for the Yokohama F.Marinos side.
71' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
75' Kohei Tezuka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi on 75 minute.
79' Ken Matsubara makes way for Tae-Hee Nam at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Yokohama F.Marinos.
84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
89' Yokohama F.Marinos are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi
99
Marcelo Ryan
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 75'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara ↓ Akito Fukuta 60'
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 75'
18
Shota Hino ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 75'
29
Taisei Inoue ↓ Yoichi Naganuma 25'

Bench

6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 60'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 75'
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 75'
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 25'
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 75'
21
Yuki Horigome
1
Arnau Riera

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Fuchi Honda	1
Hugo Vieira	1

Head to Head

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2024-07-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-06-26 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2024-06-23 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-06-19 Yokohama F.Marinos 3–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-06-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–3 FC Machida Zelvia L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-07-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tokyo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.18 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Yokohama F.Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Yokohama F.Marinos37% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC32%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.27

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Yokohama F.Marinos or Draw

68%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

63%

Yokohama F.Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Yokohama F.Marinos26% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

12.6%

1 – 0

11%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

2 – 0

6.9%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3 – 0

2.7%

1 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Yokohama F.Marinos

Handicap	Yokohama F.Marinos covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	19%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.