Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Yuto Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 13' Sagan Tosu FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kosuke Yamazaki on 13.
- 17' What a strike from Kaito Taniguchi! The score is 1-1.
- 22' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 27' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 32' Sensational shot from Ayumu Yokoyama. Sagan Tosu FC is back in the lead.
- 34' It’s gonna be a card for Michael Fitzgerald.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 43.
- 46' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Shota Hino is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 46 minute.
- 51' GOAL! Yoichi Naganuma scores on 51.
- 53' GOAL! Ayumu Yokoyama scores on 53. Assisted by Akito Fukuta
- 58' Hiroki Akiyama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 61' Goal! Michael Fitzgerald scores his 3 goal in 439 matches.
- 63' Yuji Ono is replacing Kaito Taniguchi for the Albirex Niigata side.
- 64' The whistle greets Thomas Deng as he departs to be replaced by Hayato Inamura.
- 65' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Taichi Kikuchi by Kohei Tezuka on 65 minute.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Danilo on 67.
- 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Marcelo Ryan leaves to be changed by So Kawahara.
- 84' GOAL! Soya Fujiwara scores on 84. Assisted by Yuji Ono
- 87' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Akito Fukuta departs to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
- Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Albirex Niigata
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Thomas Deng ↓ Hayato Inamura 64'
- 5
- 20
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 63'
- 25
- 6
- 31
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Yuji Ono 63'
- 16
- 14
Bench
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 63'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 63'
- 18
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 64'
- 40
-
45
Hayato Inamura ↑ 64'
- 23
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 6
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ So Kawahara 79'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 65'
- 42
- 2
- 13
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Yuki Horigome 46'
Bench
- 11
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 65'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 87'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 79'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
-
5
So Kawahara ↑ 79'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Kosuke Yamazaki | 1 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2024-07-06
Albirex Niigata
3–4
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-06-29
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2024-06-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-22
Albirex Niigata
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-06-16
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-01
FC Machida Zelvia
1–3
Albirex Niigata
W
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.