Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashima Antlers

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium 19,693 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuta Higuchi 26' 1–0

1–1 66' Yoshiki Narahara

Kei Chinen pen 80' 2–1

Ikuma Sekigawa 9' Y

Y 23' Kosuke Yamazaki

Y 31' Yuto Iwasaki

Y 72' Cayman Togashi

Y 78' Hwang Seokho

Y 82' Yoshiki Narahara

Gen Shoji 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Ryo Tanimoto
Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
Assistant 2

8 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 8.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
13 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
06 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–0	W
16 Jul	FC Tōkyō	A	3–1	W
08 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
01 Jul	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/–

76+

6/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Kashima Antlers have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ikuma Sekigawa.
14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashima Antlers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
19' Japan international Jun Nishikawa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
23' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kosuke Yamazaki.
26' Brilliant from the ! Yuta Higuchi makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 26.
31' Yuto Iwasaki was booked on 31.
36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
41' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
46' Hayato Nakama, a Japan , has 16 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yoshiki Narahara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashima Antlers.
56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
57' A change in the Kashima Antlers ranks — Yuki Kakita exits the field as Kei Chinen enters on 57.
62' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
64' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuji Ono by Cayman Togashi on 64 minute.
66' What an equalizer from Yoshiki Narahara!
71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
72' Cayman Togashi is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
77' Shuhei Mizoguchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kashima Antlers so far.
78' Controversy at the stadium! Hwang Seokho argues furiously but the card stands.
79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Kohei Tezuka leaves to be changed by Naoyuki Fujita.
80' What a moment for Kei Chinen! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
81' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Shuhei Mizoguchi is withdrawn and Yuta Matsumura gets his opportunity.
82' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 82.
87' Akito Fukuta gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Wataru Harada and will look to change the dynamic.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Gen Shoji.
90' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Ikuma Sekigawa is replaced by Gen Shoji.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Kashima Antlers 2-1 Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

55
Naomichi Ueda
21
Diego Pituca
2
Koki Anzai
40
Yuma Suzuki
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Gen Shoji 90'
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yu Funabashi 90'
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Tomoya Fujii 57'
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 57'
29
Tomoki Hayakawa
25
Kaishu Sano
28
Shuhei Mizoguchi ↓ Yuta Matsumura 81'

Bench

13
Kei Chinen ↑ 57'
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 90'
31
Yuya Oki
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 57'
10
Ryotaro Araki
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 81'
34
Yu Funabashi ↑ 90'

Coach Daiki Iwamasa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 64'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 79'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 87'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 64'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ayase Ueda	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Keita Yamashita	2

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-08-13 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2023-08-06 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2023-07-16 FC Tōkyō 1–3 Kashima Antlers W 2023-07-08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2023-07-01 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Kyoto Sanga FC D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.62 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashima Antlers53% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC22%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

78%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

47%

Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers35% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.7%

2 – 0

8.6%

0 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

3 – 1

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.