Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | FC Tokyo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Kashima Antlers welcome Sagan Tosu FC for this crunch clash at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- 5' Diego Pituca has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Ikuma Sekigawa.
- 14' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashima Antlers in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 23' The referee has no hesitation. Kosuke Yamazaki is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 23.
- 26' Goal! Yuta Higuchi scores his 16 goal in 279 matches.
- 31' The referee calls foul for Yuto Iwasaki. He receives a card.
- 36' Cayman Togashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 41' Kashima Antlers seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Kashima Antlers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 57' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Yuki Kakita is replaced by Kei Chinen on 57 minute.
- 62' Koki Anzai has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuji Ono is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
- 66' What an equalizer from Yoshiki Narahara!
- 71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashima Antlers side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 72' A moment of madness from Cayman Togashi on 72 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
- 77' Kashima Antlers are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 78' Hwang Seokho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 79' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 80' A goal from the Japan international Kei Chinen! He fires home on 80 to make it 2-1!
- 81' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 81 minute. Shuhei Mizoguchi leaves to be changed by Yuta Matsumura.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoshiki Narahara on 82.
- 87' Akito Fukuta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wataru Harada at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gen Shoji on 90 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Ikuma Sekigawa is replaced by Gen Shoji on 90 minute.
- Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Kashima Antlers were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
- 21
- 2
- 40
-
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Gen Shoji 90'
-
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yu Funabashi 90'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Tomoya Fujii 57'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 57'
- 29
- 25
- 28
Bench
-
13
Kei Chinen ↑ 57'
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 90'
- 31
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 57'
- 10
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 81'
-
34
Yu Funabashi ↑ 90'
Coach
Daiki Iwamasa
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 64'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 79'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 64'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Jun Nishikawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
- 27
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 64'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 79'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 87'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 64'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 2 |
| Masaya Tashiro | 2 |
| Kimito Nono | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
47%
Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

