Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | FC Tokyo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
4/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/7
61-75
4/–
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 13 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 7 G | 1 A |
| Elber | 3 G | 2 A |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuto Iwasaki, as he is very good at scoring at Kashima Soccer Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 9' The referee calls foul for Ikuma Sekigawa. He receives a card.
- 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashima Antlers that had 460 games and scored 493 goals.
- 19' Kashima Antlers are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 23' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 26' Yuta Higuchi does the damage! The net is bulging and Kashima Antlers surge ahead!
- 31' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 36' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' Yuki Horigome, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Kei Chinen comes on to replace Yuki Kakita.
- 62' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 64' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Cayman Togashi comes on to replace Yuji Ono.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Yoshiki Narahara makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 66.
- 71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 72' Cayman Togashi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomoki Hayakawa made 460 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Hwang Seokho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
- 79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Kohei Tezuka leaves to be changed by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 80' A stunning finish from Kei Chinen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 81' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Shuhei Mizoguchi is withdrawn and Yuta Matsumura gets his opportunity.
- 82' Yoshiki Narahara is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 87' Akito Fukuta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wataru Harada on 87 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Gen Shoji.
- 90' Gen Shoji has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ikuma Sekigawa on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
- 21
- 2
- 40
-
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Gen Shoji 90'
-
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yu Funabashi 90'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Tomoya Fujii 57'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 57'
- 29
- 25
- 28
Bench
-
13
Kei Chinen ↑ 57'
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 90'
- 31
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 57'
- 10
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 81'
-
34
Yu Funabashi ↑ 90'
Coach
Daiki Iwamasa
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 64'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 79'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 64'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Jun Nishikawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
- 27
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 64'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 79'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 87'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 64'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 2 |
| Masaya Tashiro | 2 |
| Kimito Nono | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
| Keita Yamashita | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
47%
Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

