Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium 19,693 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuta Higuchi 26' 1–0
1–1 66' Yoshiki Narahara
Kei Chinen pen 80' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Tanimoto
  • Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
13 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
06 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W
16 Jul FC Tōkyō A 3–1 W
08 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
01 Jul Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 11 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 9' A moment of madness from Ikuma Sekigawa on 9 minutes earns him a card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
  • 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 19' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' Kosuke Yamazaki catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 23.
  • 26' Yuta Higuchi puts Kashima Antlers on the lead.
  • 31' Controversy at the stadium! Yuto Iwasaki argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 36' Il-kyu Park, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 41' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomoki Hayakawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' Kashima Antlers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Yuki Kakita is withdrawn and Kei Chinen gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The 28-year-old So Kawahara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Cayman Togashi. He replaces Yuji Ono on 64 minute.
  • 66' GOAL! Yoshiki Narahara scores on 66. Assisted by Yoichi Naganuma
  • 71' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Cayman Togashi on 72 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hwang Seokho on 78.
  • 79' Naoyuki Fujita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Kei Chinen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' Yuta Matsumura gets the nod from Kashima Antlers. He replaces Shuhei Mizoguchi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Yoshiki Narahara is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 82.
  • 87' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 87 minute. Wataru Harada leaves to be changed by Akito Fukuta.
  • 90' Gen Shoji was booked on 90.
  • 90' Kashima Antlers make a change. Ikuma Sekigawa trudges off to be replaced by Gen Shoji on 90 minutes.
  • 2-1 the final result. Sagan Tosu FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kashima Antlers53% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
47%
Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kashima Antlers35% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap Kashima Antlers covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.