Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | FC Tōkyō | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 11 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 4 G | 1 A |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 9' A moment of madness from Ikuma Sekigawa on 9 minutes earns him a card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
- 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 19' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 23' Kosuke Yamazaki catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 23.
- 26' Yuta Higuchi puts Kashima Antlers on the lead.
- 31' Controversy at the stadium! Yuto Iwasaki argues furiously but the card stands.
- 36' Il-kyu Park, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 41' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomoki Hayakawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' Kashima Antlers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 57' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Yuki Kakita is withdrawn and Kei Chinen gets his opportunity.
- 62' The 28-year-old So Kawahara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Cayman Togashi. He replaces Yuji Ono on 64 minute.
- 66' GOAL! Yoshiki Narahara scores on 66. Assisted by Yoichi Naganuma
- 71' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 72' A moment of madness from Cayman Togashi on 72 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
- 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hwang Seokho on 78.
- 79' Naoyuki Fujita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 79 minute mark.
- 80' Against the run of play, Kei Chinen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 81' Yuta Matsumura gets the nod from Kashima Antlers. He replaces Shuhei Mizoguchi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Yoshiki Narahara is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 82.
- 87' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 87 minute. Wataru Harada leaves to be changed by Akito Fukuta.
- 90' Gen Shoji was booked on 90.
- 90' Kashima Antlers make a change. Ikuma Sekigawa trudges off to be replaced by Gen Shoji on 90 minutes.
- 2-1 the final result. Sagan Tosu FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
- 21
- 2
- 40
-
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Gen Shoji 90'
-
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yu Funabashi 90'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Tomoya Fujii 57'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 57'
- 29
- 25
- 28
Bench
-
13
Kei Chinen ↑ 57'
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 90'
- 31
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 57'
- 10
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 81'
-
34
Yu Funabashi ↑ 90'
Coach
Daiki Iwamasa
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 64'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 79'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 64'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Jun Nishikawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
- 27
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 64'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 79'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 87'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 64'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 2 |
| Masaya Tashiro | 2 |
| Kimito Nono | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
47%
Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

