Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 4
Full Time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sun 21 Jul 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kosuke Yamazaki 6' Y
Akito Fukuta 41' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

3
6
7
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–4 L
14 Jul Gamba Osaka H 0–2 L
06 Jul Albirex Niigata A 4–3 W
03 Jul Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–0 W
30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 4–1 W
14 Jul Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
05 Jul Vissel Kobe H 1–3 L
29 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
26 Jun Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
22 Jun Kashiwa Reysol A 1–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 6' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 6.
  • 11' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 16' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 21' Goal! Marcos Junior scores his 48 goal in 386 matches.
  • 26' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shuto Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 46' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan scores on 46.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' Makoto Mitsuta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Douglas Vieira on 61 minute.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Vykintas Slivka is replaced by Cayman Togashi on 64 minute.
  • 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' Taishi Matsumoto puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 78' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Katsunori Ueebisu is hanging Tae-hyeon Kim on the field on 78 minute.
  • 82' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 82 minute. Hikaru Nakahara leaves to be changed by Yuki Horigome.
  • 86' Kohei Tezuka is replacing Ayumu Yokoyama for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 87' Goal! Yuki Ohashi scores his 42 goal in 418 matches.
  • 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takaaki Shichi is hanging Shunki Higashi on the field on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Makoto Mitsuta 2
Douglas Vieira 2
Pieros Sotiriou 2
Patric 1
Hwang Seokho 1
Taishi Matsumoto 1
Yuji Takahashi 1
Taisei Miyashiro 1

Head to Head

2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-07-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Gamba Osaka L 2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-07-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-07-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2024-07-05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-06-29 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-06-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-06-22 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC21% Draw25% Sanfrecce Hiroshima54%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
79%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC15% Draw43% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.2%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 23% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.