Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Juan Alano suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 19' Gamba Osaka is taking the lead after the goal scored by Isa Sakamoto on 19.
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Taichi Kikuchi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' The whistle greets Vinicius Araujo as he departs to be replaced by Hikaru Nakahara.
- 51' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Shota Fukuoka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 64' Shu Kurata is replacing Welton for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 69' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 72' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Keisuke Sakaiya departs to be replaced by Tae-hyeon Kim.
- 77' Keisuke Sakaiya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 81' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Riku Matsuda is hanging Takashi Usami on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' GOAL! Issam Jebali scores on 84.
- 85' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 85' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Vykintas Slivka on 85 minute.
- 90' Yusei Egawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keisuke Kurokawa on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Vykintas Slivka 85'
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Kohei Tezuka 64'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 13
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↓ Tae-hyeon Kim 72'
Bench
-
77
Vykintas Slivka ↑ 85'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 64'
-
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 72'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 46'
- 5
-
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↑ 72'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Riku Matsuda 81'
- 20
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↓ Yusei Egawa 90'
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Juan Alano 64'
- 2
- 16
- 3
- 23
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Issam Jebali 81'
-
97
Welton ↓ Shu Kurata 64'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 81'
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 64'
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 64'
-
46
Riku Matsuda ↑ 81'
-
24
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
- 6
- 25
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazuma Watanabe | 3 |
| Yuji Ono | 3 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Hwang Seokho | 2 |
| Hiroto Yamami | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.04
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Gamba Osaka or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
70%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.