Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Fri 16 Sep 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
10 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Gamba Osaka A 3–0 W
31 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L
26 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
20 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
10 Sep Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
03 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–2 D
27 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
21 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
14 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 11 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kashima Antlers backline.
  • 10' Shoma Doi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' It looks surprising Kashima Antlers does not make any changes. Everaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Kashima Antlers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Hayato Nakama has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 415 appearances.
  • 34' Brilliant from the ! Taisei Miyashiro makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 34.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yoichi Naganuma.
  • 46' Ryotaro Araki makes way for Hayato Nakama at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
  • 51' It’s high time Daiki Iwamasa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Kashima Antlers's compact .
  • 59' Goal! Arthur Caike scores his 34 goal in 333 matches.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Kei Koizumi on 63 minute.
  • 64' Kei Koizumi makes way for Naoyuki Fujita at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 65' Hwang Seokho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 70' Japan international Tomoki Hayakawa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' Yuji Ono is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuto Iwasaki at the 74 minute mark.
  • 75' Everaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arthur Caike at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Shoma Doi. He replaces Yuma Suzuki on 82 minute.
  • 83' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fuchi Honda at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 88.
  • 89' A moment of madness from Geon-Woo Park on 89 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw29% Kashima Antlers32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashima Antlers
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw49% Kashima Antlers24%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.