Hull City AFC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Millwall FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 14 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Backhouse
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 13.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough FC | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham City FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City FC | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea City AFC | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham United FC | 14 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield United FC | 14 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth FC | 14 | 22 |
| 11 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 14 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 14 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall FC | 14 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 14 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City FC | 14 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham AFC | 14 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff City FC | 14 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City FC | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 14 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic FC | 14 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 14 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 14 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jan | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | Norwich City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jan | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Leicester City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
1/4
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at MKM Stadium. Hull City AFC are looking to make home advantage count against Millwall FC.
- 5' What a moment for Jaden Philogene-Bidace! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
- 10' Hull City AFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Millwall FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hull City AFC and Millwall FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jaden Philogene-Bidace on 44.
- 46' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Michael Obafemi is replaced by Tom Bradshaw on 46 minute.
- 48' The referee has no hesitation. Murray Wallace is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 48.
- 51' It’s a booking for Hull City AFC player. Tyler Morton gets a Yellow card.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 59' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Murray Wallace is replaced by Joe Bryan on 59 minute.
- 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 66' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Brooke Norton-Cuffy is withdrawn and Dan McNamara gets his opportunity.
- 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 74' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noah Ohio is hanging Anass Zaroury on the field on 74 minute.
- 79' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 82' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Casper De Norre.
- 87' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Ryan Allsop has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Ozan Tufan has done his job and it is now time for Matty Jacob to step up.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fabio Carvalho on 90.
- 90' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Fabio Carvalho is replaced by Greg Docherty on 90 minute.
- Hull City AFC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Ozan Tufan ↓ Matty Jacob 88'
- –
- 2
- 17
- 27
- 5
- 4
-
45
Fabio Carvalho ↓ Greg Docherty 90'
-
–
Anass Zaroury ↓ Noah Ohio 74'
- 23
- 15
Bench
- 12
-
8
Greg Docherty ↑ 90'
- –
- 6
- –
-
29
Matty Jacob ↑ 88'
-
–
Noah Ohio ↑ 74'
- 41
- 43
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Millwall FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
3
Murray Wallace ↓ Joe Bryan 59'
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Romain Esse 66'
- 45
- 23
- 20
- 10
- 24
-
21
Michael Obafemi ↓ Tom Bradshaw 46'
- 6
- 17
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 46'
- 4
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 59'
-
15
Joe Bryan ↑ 59'
- 33
- 14
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 66'
- 8
-
25
Romain Esse ↑ 66'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 3 |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | 2 |
| Kamil Grosicki | 2 |
| Adama Traore | 2 |
| Shane Ferguson | 2 |
| Jon Toral | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hull City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
77%
Draw or Millwall FC
53%
Hull City AFC or Millwall FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hull City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

