Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Leicester City FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 12:30 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Cesare Casadei
0–2 39' Ricardo Pereira
Duncan Watmore 56' 1–2
1–3 61' Thomas Cannon
Zian Flemming 86' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Leicester City FCFA Cup at The Den.

Head-to-Head

2
1
2
Millwall FC 5 games · Avg 2.8 goals Leicester City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–3 L
01 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
16 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Millwall FC A 3–2 W
01 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC H 4–1 W
29 Dec Cardiff City FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
18 Dec Birmingham City FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Leicester City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Leicester City FC gets underway.
  • 5' Hamza Choudhury is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Leicester City FC tonight.
  • 10' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Leicester City FC's shape.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 16' A goal from the Italy international Cesare Casadei! He fires home on 16 to make it 0-1!
  • 21' England international Billy Mitchell has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leicester City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 39' GOAL! Ricardo Pereira scores on 39. Assisted by Cesare Casadei
  • 42' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Ryan Leonard exits the field as Ryan Longman enters on 42.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' Leicester City FC have won 510 goals from 354 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Duncan Watmore makes it 1-2.
  • 61' What a moment for Thomas Cannon! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 67' Kevin Nisbet makes way for Tom Bradshaw at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Zian Flemming. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 72' Kiernan Dewsbury Hall gets the nod from Leicester City FC. He replaces Yunus Akgun and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Leicester City FC team. Wanya Marcal-Madivadua is replaced by Tawanda Maswanhise on 77 minute.
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dan McNamara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' What composure from Zian Flemming! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-3.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Cannon is booked for Leicester City FC — card on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Leicester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC33% Draw26% Leicester City FC41%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Leicester City FC
67%
Millwall FC or Leicester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC26% Draw43% Leicester City FC31%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.