Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Leicester City FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 12:30 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Cesare Casadei
0–2 39' Ricardo Pereira
Duncan Watmore 56' 1–2
1–3 61' Thomas Cannon
Zian Flemming 86' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Leicester City FC — FA Cup at The Den.

Head-to-Head

2
1
2
Millwall FC 5 games · Avg 2.8 goals Leicester City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–3 L
01 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
16 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Millwall FC A 3–2 W
01 Jan Huddersfield Town AFC H 4–1 W
29 Dec Cardiff City FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
18 Dec Birmingham City FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Leicester City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Leicester City FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wes Harding, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' What a moment for Cesare Casadei! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Leicester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 36' Leicester City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' What composure from Ricardo Pereira! The Portugal international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 42' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Ryan Leonard is replaced by Ryan Longman.
  • 47' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Leicester City FC's shape.
  • 56' GOAL! Duncan Watmore scores on 56. Assisted by Zian Flemming
  • 61' Magnificent from Thomas Cannon! That is 26 goals in 321 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leicester City FC that had 358 games and scored 514 goals.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Kevin Nisbet is replaced by Tom Bradshaw on 67 minute.
  • 69' Zian Flemming was booked on 69.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Leicester City FC — Kiernan Dewsbury Hall on, Yunus Akgun off on 72 minutes.
  • 77' The Leicester City FC manager makes a substitution. Wanya Marcal-Madivadua departs to be replaced by Tawanda Maswanhise.
  • 82' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 86' The Netherlands forward Zian Flemming breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 2-3!
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Thomas Cannon.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Leicester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC33% Draw26% Leicester City FC41%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Leicester City FC
67%
Millwall FC or Leicester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC26% Draw43% Leicester City FC31%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.