Saturday , 14 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Hull City AFC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Birmingham City FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Hull City AFC
Tue 16 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 7,133 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Jason Lokilo
Jay Stansfield 66' 1–1
Koji Miyoshi 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Hull City AFC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Rob Smith
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 9.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
6
6
Birmingham City FC 14 games · Avg 2.7 goals Hull City AFC
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-16 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2024-01-06 Hull City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC 2023-10-25 Birmingham City FC 0–2 Hull City AFC 2022-12-30 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Hull City AFC 2022-10-16 Hull City AFC 0–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
13 Jan Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
06 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec Bristol City FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–3 L
Hull City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Birmingham City FC A 1–2 L
12 Jan Norwich City FC H 1–2 L
06 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at St Andrew's Ground. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Birmingham City FC and Hull City AFC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at St Andrew's Ground. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 12' What a strike from Jason Lokilo! The score is 0-1.
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. Birmingham City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Oliver Burke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Tyrell Sellars-Fleming has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gary Gardner, as he is very good at scoring at St Andrew's Ground with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 47' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' The whistle greets Romelle Donovan as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Roberts.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Siriki Dembele. He replaces Gary Gardner on 63 minute.
  • 64' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Emmanuel Longelo exits the field as Ivan Sunjic enters on 64.
  • 66' What a moment for Jay Stansfield! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 68' Lewie Coyle gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Allahyar Sayyadmanesh and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Over 73 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 78' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Harry Vaughan as he leaves the pitch. Ozan Tufan steps in for Hull City AFC.
  • 80' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Stan Ashbee has done his job and it is now time for Tyler Morton to step up.
  • 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 398 games and scored 442 goals.
  • 90' Tyler Morton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Birmingham City FC take all three points.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Mowbray

Hull City AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Liam Rosenior

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Che Adams 3
Gary Gardner 2
Lukas Jutkiewicz 2
Kamil Grosicki 2
Fraizer Campbell 2
Jarrod Bowen 2
Jaden Philogene-Bidace 1
Daniel Crowley 1

Head to Head

2024-01-16 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2024-01-06 Hull City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC 2023-10-25 Birmingham City FC 0–2 Hull City AFC 2022-12-30 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Hull City AFC 2022-10-16 Hull City AFC 0–2 Birmingham City FC

Birmingham City FC Form

2024-01-16 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2024-01-13 Birmingham City FC 2–2 Swansea City AFC D 2024-01-06 Hull City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2024-01-01 Leeds United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2023-12-29 Birmingham City FC 0–0 Bristol City FC D 2023-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Stoke City FC L

Hull City AFC Form

2024-01-16 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Hull City AFC L 2024-01-12 Hull City AFC 1–2 Norwich City FC L 2024-01-06 Hull City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2024-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 3–1 Hull City AFC L 2023-12-29 Hull City AFC 3–2 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2023-12-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Sunderland AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC47% Draw27% Hull City AFC26%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Hull City AFC
53%
Birmingham City FC or Hull City AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC31% Draw48% Hull City AFC21%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.