Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Hull City AFC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 16 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 7,133 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Jason Lokilo
Jay Stansfield 66' 1–1
Koji Miyoshi 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Hull City AFC — FA Cup at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Rob Smith
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
13 Jan Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
06 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec Bristol City FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Birmingham City FC A 1–2 L
12 Jan Norwich City FC H 1–2 L
06 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hull City AFC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Birmingham City FC welcome Hull City AFC for this crunch clash at St Andrew's Ground.
  • 5' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 12' What a moment for Jason Lokilo! That strike on 12 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 17' A quiet spell here at St Andrew's Ground. Hull City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 22' Hull City AFC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' Birmingham City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Birmingham City FC and Hull City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 37' The travelling Hull City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Tyler Morton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 52' Hull City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 57' Allahyar Sayyadmanesh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Tyler Roberts is ready to make an impact after coming on for Romelle Donovan at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' Siriki Dembele gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Gary Gardner and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Ivan Sunjic gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Emmanuel Longelo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Jay Stansfield has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 66 minutes.
  • 68' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Allahyar Sayyadmanesh has done his job and it is now time for Lewie Coyle to step up.
  • 73' Romelle Donovan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' James Furlong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 26 appearances.
  • 79' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Harry Vaughan exits the field as Ozan Tufan enters on 79.
  • 80' The whistle greets Stan Ashbee as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Morton.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • It finishes all square. Birmingham City FC and Hull City AFC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC47% Draw27% Hull City AFC26%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Hull City AFC
53%
Birmingham City FC or Hull City AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC31% Draw48% Hull City AFC21%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.