Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Preston North End FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
Zian Flemming 5' 1–0
1–1 33' Brad Potts

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Preston North End FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Preston North End FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L
13 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
06 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–3 L
01 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Millwall FC A 1–1 D
21 Jan Leeds United FC A 1–2 L
13 Jan Bristol City FC H 2–0 W
06 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–4 L
01 Jan Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
29 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Preston North End FC
#3 Position #14
83 Points 60
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 15 / 16
64 Scored 55
49 Conceded 62
+15 GD -7
1.80 PPG 1.30
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Preston North End FC are 14th (60 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Preston North End FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC52% Draw26% Preston North End FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Preston North End FC
48%
Millwall FC or Preston North End FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC37% Draw45% Preston North End FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Preston North End FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.