Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Leicester City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Norwich City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Jan | Aston Villa FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Coventry City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Rotherham United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 11 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 12 |
| +0 | GD | +4 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds The Den will turn into a battlefield for Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Brilliant from the left-back! Joe Bryan makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
- 15' Morgan Rogers, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Middlesbrough FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' Against the run of play, Lukas Engel has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 43' Matt Clarke has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 375 appearances.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for George Honeyman.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 51' Ryan Longman picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hayden Hackney is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
- 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Isaiah Jones makes it 1-2.
- 62' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Finn Azaz exits the field as Matt Crooks enters on 62.
- 66' Middlesbrough FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 66.
- 71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
- 73' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brooke Norton-Cuffy is hanging Zian Flemming on the field on 73 minute.
- 77' Hayden Hackney is replacing Daniel Barlaser for the Middlesbrough FC side.
- 80' Joe Bryan was booked on 80.
- 82' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Dan McNamara is replaced by Romain Esse.
- 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 88' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Sam Greenwood has done his job and it is now time for Marcus Forss to step up.
- Middlesbrough FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 15
- 45
- 20
- 10
-
2
Dan McNamara ↓ Romain Esse 82'
- 8
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 3
- 33
- 14
-
24
Casper De Norre ↑ 82'
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 73'
-
25
Romain Esse ↑ 82'
- 46
- 43
- 48
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 6
- –
- 4
- 23
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Matt Clarke 77'
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Matt Crooks 62'
- 3
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↓ Marcus Forss 88'
- 27
- 16
Bench
-
5
Matt Clarke ↑ 77'
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 88'
- 28
- 32
-
7
Hayden Hackney ↑ 77'
- 48
- 57
- 14
-
25
Matt Crooks ↑ 62'
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Aiden O'Brien | 1 |
| Grant Hall | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-01-13
Millwall FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-01-06
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Aston Villa FC
L
2024-01-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–3
Coventry City FC
L
2023-12-29
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2023-12-26
Rotherham United FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-12-23
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 19% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

