Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Leicester City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Norwich City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Jan | Aston Villa FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Coventry City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Rotherham United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #2 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 23 | Scored | 30 |
| 27 | Conceded | 19 |
| -4 | GD | +11 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Joe Bryan puts Millwall FC on the lead.
- 15' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Middlesbrough FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Jonny Howson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 35' Millwall FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-4-2 shape.
- 38' Lukas Engel makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
- 43' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' The referee calls foul for George Honeyman. He receives a Yellow card.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Finn Azaz, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 51' Poor challenge from Ryan Longman. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 58' The Guyana Isaiah Jones breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 1-2!
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Matt Crooks. He replaces Finn Azaz on 62 minute.
- 66' Lukas Engel picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 73' Brooke Norton-Cuffy gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Zian Flemming and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Hayden Hackney gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Daniel Barlaser and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' The referee has no hesitation. Joe Bryan is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 80.
- 82' Another change for Millwall FC made on 82 minute. Dan McNamara leaves to be changed by Romain Esse.
- 87' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 88' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcus Forss is hanging Sam Greenwood on the field on 88 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Middlesbrough FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 15
- 45
- 20
- 10
-
2
Dan McNamara ↓ Romain Esse 82'
- 8
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 3
- 33
- 14
-
24
Casper De Norre ↑ 82'
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 73'
-
25
Romain Esse ↑ 82'
- 46
- 43
- 48
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 6
- –
- 4
- 23
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Matt Clarke 77'
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Matt Crooks 62'
- 3
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↓ Marcus Forss 88'
- 27
- 16
Bench
-
5
Matt Clarke ↑ 77'
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 88'
- 28
- 32
-
7
Hayden Hackney ↑ 77'
- 48
- 57
- 14
-
25
Matt Crooks ↑ 62'
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Aiden O'Brien | 1 |
| Grant Hall | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-01-13
Millwall FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-01-06
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Aston Villa FC
L
2024-01-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–3
Coventry City FC
L
2023-12-29
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2023-12-26
Rotherham United FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-12-23
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
70%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

