Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Leicester City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Norwich City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Jan | Aston Villa FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Coventry City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Rotherham United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 83 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 64 | Scored | 72 |
| 49 | Conceded | 47 |
| +15 | GD | +25 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 52% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at The Den. Millwall FC are looking to make home advantage count against Middlesbrough FC.
- 5' Middlesbrough FC have won 467 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' A stunning finish from Joe Bryan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 15' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. George Honeyman made 363 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 38' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lukas Engel makes it 1-1.
- 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Poor challenge from George Honeyman. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 51' Ryan Longman catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 51.
- 56' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 58' Against the run of play, Isaiah Jones has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' Matt Crooks is ready to make an impact after coming on for Finn Azaz at the 62 minute mark.
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Lukas Engel argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 71' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Brooke Norton-Cuffy. He replaces Zian Flemming on 73 minute.
- 77' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — Hayden Hackney on, Daniel Barlaser off on 77 minutes.
- 80' Millwall FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 82' Another change for Millwall FC made on 82 minute. Dan McNamara leaves to be changed by Romain Esse.
- 87' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 88' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Sam Greenwood trudges off to be replaced by Marcus Forss on 88 minutes.
- The points are shared — Millwall FC 1-3 Middlesbrough FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 15
- 45
- 20
- 10
-
2
Dan McNamara ↓ Romain Esse 82'
- 8
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 3
- 33
- 14
-
24
Casper De Norre ↑ 82'
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 73'
-
25
Romain Esse ↑ 82'
- 46
- 43
- 48
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 6
- –
- 4
- 23
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Matt Clarke 77'
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Matt Crooks 62'
- 3
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↓ Marcus Forss 88'
- 27
- 16
Bench
-
5
Matt Clarke ↑ 77'
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 88'
- 28
- 32
-
7
Hayden Hackney ↑ 77'
- 48
- 57
- 14
-
25
Matt Crooks ↑ 62'
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Aiden O'Brien | 1 |
| Grant Hall | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-01-13
Millwall FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-01-06
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Aston Villa FC
L
2024-01-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–3
Coventry City FC
L
2023-12-29
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2023-12-26
Rotherham United FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-12-23
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

