Saturday , 22 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Muheim 7' 1–0
1–1 18' Dawid Kownacki
Davie Selke 40' 2–1
Adam Karabec 66' 3–1
Otto Stange 90+4' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 6.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 4–1 W
02 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 0–2 L
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preussen Munster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–4 L
28 Feb SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–2 L
23 Feb 1. FC Koln A 1–1 D
15 Feb Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
09 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
01 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–2 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 7' Miro Muheim does the damage! The net is bulging and Hamburger SV surge ahead!
  • 8' Florian Kastenmeier catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 8.
  • 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 18' Dawid Kownacki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are in front.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' The travelling TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Merlin Polzin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Hamburger SV is taking the lead after the goal scored by Davie Selke on 40.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Thioune might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Moritz-Broni Kwarteng trudges off to be replaced by Shinta Appelkamp on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hamburger SV and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Jamil Siebert was booked on 58.
  • 63' Hamburger SV currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' A goal from the Czech Republic international Adam Karabec! He fires home on 66 to make it 3-1!
  • 68' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Davie Selke gets a card.
  • 73' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 76' Hamburger SV make a change. William Mikelbrencis trudges off to be replaced by Silvan Hefti on 76 minutes.
  • 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Myron van Brederode made 302 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' Hamburger SV make a change. Adam Karabec trudges off to be replaced by Fabio Balde on 85 minutes.
  • 86' Another substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf to replace Nicolas Gavory by Myron van Brederode on 86 minute.
  • 90' The whistle greets Ludovit Reis as he departs to be replaced by Otto Stange.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Hamburger SV take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV60% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf17%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV43% Draw43% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf14%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.