Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Hannover 96 | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Hamburger SV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | SSV Ulm 1846 | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — let the football do the talking.
- 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 7' Miro Muheim does the damage! The net is bulging and Hamburger SV surge ahead!
- 8' Florian Kastenmeier catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 8.
- 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
- 18' Dawid Kownacki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are in front.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' The travelling TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
- 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Merlin Polzin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' Hamburger SV is taking the lead after the goal scored by Davie Selke on 40.
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Thioune might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 52' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Moritz-Broni Kwarteng trudges off to be replaced by Shinta Appelkamp on 52 minutes.
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hamburger SV and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' Jamil Siebert was booked on 58.
- 63' Hamburger SV currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 66' A goal from the Czech Republic international Adam Karabec! He fires home on 66 to make it 3-1!
- 68' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Davie Selke gets a card.
- 73' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Hamburger SV make a change. William Mikelbrencis trudges off to be replaced by Silvan Hefti on 76 minutes.
- 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Myron van Brederode made 302 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Hamburger SV make a change. Adam Karabec trudges off to be replaced by Fabio Balde on 85 minutes.
- 86' Another substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf to replace Nicolas Gavory by Myron van Brederode on 86 minute.
- 90' The whistle greets Ludovit Reis as he departs to be replaced by Otto Stange.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Hamburger SV take all three points.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 23
-
14
Ludovit Reis ↓ Otto Stange 90'
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 7
-
29
Emir Sahiti ↓ Marco Richter 85'
- 28
-
17
Adam Karabec ↓ Fabio Balde 85'
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 12
-
20
Marco Richter ↑ 85'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Hefti ↑ 76'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 90'
-
45
Fabio Balde ↑ 85'
Coach
Merlin Polzin
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 34
- 25
-
3
Andre Hoffmann ↓ Emmanuel Iyoha 76'
-
24
Dawid Kownacki ↓ Jona Niemiec 86'
- 5
- 33
- 8
- 20
- 11
- 15
- 7
Bench
-
19
Emmanuel Iyoha ↑ 76'
-
9
Vincent Vermeij ↑ 76'
- 46
- 44
-
23
Shinta Appelkamp ↑ 52'
- 26
-
10
Myron van Brederode ↑ 86'
-
18
Jona Niemiec ↑ 86'
- 22
Coach
Daniel Thioune
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | 1 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
| Miro Muheim | 1 |
| Adam Karabec | 1 |
| Otto Stange | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2025-03-08
Hamburger SV
4–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2025-02-28
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2025-02-23
1. FC Koln
1–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
D
2025-02-15
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–1
Hertha BSC
W
2025-02-09
Hannover 96
1–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
D
2025-02-01
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
3–2
SSV Ulm 1846
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for:
Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hamburger SV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hamburger SV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

