Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 29 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–0 W
22 Sep VfL Osnabruck A 1–2 L
16 Sep SV 07 Elversberg A 1–2 L
03 Sep FC Hansa Rostock H 2–0 W
26 Aug Hannover 96 A 1–0 W
19 Aug Hertha BSC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Hamburger SV A 0–1 L
24 Sep Hannover 96 H 1–1 D
16 Sep FC Hansa Rostock A 3–1 W
01 Sep Karlsruher SC H 3–1 W
26 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 5–0 W
19 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV49% Draw28% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf23%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
77%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
51%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV31% Draw50% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
40%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.