Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
17 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Hannover 96 | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Hamburger SV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | SSV Ulm 1846 | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Hamburger SV gets underway.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 7' What a strike from Miro Muheim! The score is 1-0.
- 8' Florian Kastenmeier was booked on 8.
- 13' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' What a strike from Dawid Kownacki! The score is 1-1.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Myron van Brederode suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' GOAL! Davie Selke scores on 40. Assisted by Jean-Luc Dompe
- 45' Moritz-Broni Kwarteng has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Moritz-Broni Kwarteng is replaced by Shinta Appelkamp on 52 minute.
- 57' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' Jamil Siebert was booked on 58.
- 63' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
- 66' Goal! Adam Karabec scores his 3 goal in 46 matches.
- 68' Hamburger SV receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
- 73' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 76' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace William Mikelbrencis by Silvan Hefti on 76 minute.
- 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinta Appelkamp, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 85' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabio Balde is hanging Adam Karabec on the field on 85 minute.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Myron van Brederode. He replaces Nicolas Gavory on 86 minute.
- 90' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Ludovit Reis is replaced by Otto Stange on 90 minute.
- Full Time. Hamburger SV beats TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 23
-
14
Ludovit Reis ↓ Otto Stange 90'
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 7
-
29
Emir Sahiti ↓ Marco Richter 85'
- 28
-
17
Adam Karabec ↓ Fabio Balde 85'
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 12
-
20
Marco Richter ↑ 85'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Hefti ↑ 76'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 90'
-
45
Fabio Balde ↑ 85'
Coach
Merlin Polzin
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 34
- 25
-
3
Andre Hoffmann ↓ Emmanuel Iyoha 76'
-
24
Dawid Kownacki ↓ Jona Niemiec 86'
- 5
- 33
- 8
- 20
- 11
- 15
- 7
Bench
-
19
Emmanuel Iyoha ↑ 76'
-
9
Vincent Vermeij ↑ 76'
- 46
- 44
-
23
Shinta Appelkamp ↑ 52'
- 26
-
10
Myron van Brederode ↑ 86'
-
18
Jona Niemiec ↑ 86'
- 22
Coach
Daniel Thioune
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Otto Stange | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
| Felix Klaus | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | 1 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2025-03-08
Hamburger SV
4–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2025-02-28
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2025-02-23
1. FC Koln
1–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
D
2025-02-15
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–1
Hertha BSC
W
2025-02-09
Hannover 96
1–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
D
2025-02-01
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
3–2
SSV Ulm 1846
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for:
Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hamburger SV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hamburger SV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

