Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Muheim 7' 1–0
1–1 18' Dawid Kownacki
Davie Selke 40' 2–1
Adam Karabec 66' 3–1
Otto Stange 90+4' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 4–1 W
02 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 0–2 L
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preussen Munster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–4 L
28 Feb SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–2 L
23 Feb 1. FC Koln A 1–1 D
15 Feb Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
09 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
01 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–2 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Hamburger SV gets underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 7' What a strike from Miro Muheim! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' Florian Kastenmeier was booked on 8.
  • 13' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 18' What a strike from Dawid Kownacki! The score is 1-1.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Myron van Brederode suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' GOAL! Davie Selke scores on 40. Assisted by Jean-Luc Dompe
  • 45' Moritz-Broni Kwarteng has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Moritz-Broni Kwarteng is replaced by Shinta Appelkamp on 52 minute.
  • 57' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' Jamil Siebert was booked on 58.
  • 63' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
  • 66' Goal! Adam Karabec scores his 3 goal in 46 matches.
  • 68' Hamburger SV receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
  • 73' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 76' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace William Mikelbrencis by Silvan Hefti on 76 minute.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinta Appelkamp, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 85' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabio Balde is hanging Adam Karabec on the field on 85 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Myron van Brederode. He replaces Nicolas Gavory on 86 minute.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Ludovit Reis is replaced by Otto Stange on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Hamburger SV beats TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV60% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf17%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV43% Draw43% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf14%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.