Friday , 9 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Hamburger SV
4 – 1
Full Time
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Muheim 7' 1–0
1–1 18' Dawid Kownacki
Davie Selke 40' 2–1
Adam Karabec 66' 3–1
Otto Stange 90+4' 4–1
Y 8' Florian Kastenmeier
Y 58' Jamil Siebert
Davie Selke 68' Y
Y 68' Andre Hoffmann

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nurnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 FC Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli 1910 6 7
9 VfL Bochum 1848 6 7
10 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 SG Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4

Head-to-Head

4
1
1
Hamburger SV 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 Hamburger SV 4–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2024-10-06 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 0–3 Hamburger SV 2024-03-08 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2–0 Hamburger SV 2023-09-29 Hamburger SV 1–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2016-04-22 Hamburger SV 3–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–1 W
02 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 0–2 L
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preußen Münster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–4 L
28 Feb SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–2 L
23 Feb 1. FC Koln A 1–1 D
15 Feb Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
09 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
01 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–2 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf get us underway at Volksparkstadion.
  • 5' Dawid Kownacki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
  • 7' The Switzerland Miro Muheim breaks the deadlock on 7 minutes. 1-0!
  • 8' The referee calls foul for Florian Kastenmeier. He receives a card.
  • 13' It’s high time Daniel Thioune made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 18' The deadlock is broken! Dawid Kownacki gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
  • 23' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 28' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for William Mikelbrencis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Against the run of play, Davie Selke has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emir Sahiti is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hamburger SV.
  • 50' Vincent Vermeij, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' Shinta Appelkamp is ready to make an impact after coming on for Moritz-Broni Kwarteng at the 52 minute mark.
  • 57' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' Jamil Siebert picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' The travelling TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 66' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Adam Karabec makes it 3-1.
  • 68' Davie Selke was booked on 68.
  • 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 76' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Silvan Hefti is hanging William Mikelbrencis on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' Fabio Balde is replacing Adam Karabec for the Hamburger SV side.
  • 86' Myron van Brederode has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Gavory on 86 minute.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Ludovit Reis is replaced by Otto Stange.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Hamburger SV players.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Merlin Polzin

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Thioune

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Robert Glatzel 2
Otto Stange 1
Dawid Kownacki 1
Laszlo Benes 1
Felix Klaus 1
Christos Tzolis 1
Jean-Luc Dompe 1
Davie Selke 1

Head to Head

2025-03-08 Hamburger SV 4–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2024-10-06 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 0–3 Hamburger SV 2024-03-08 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2–0 Hamburger SV 2023-09-29 Hamburger SV 1–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2016-04-22 Hamburger SV 3–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Hamburger SV Form

2025-03-08 Hamburger SV 4–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf W 2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-02-21 Hamburger SV 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2025-02-16 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2025-02-07 SC Preußen Münster 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-02 Hamburger SV 2–2 Hannover 96 D

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form

2025-03-08 Hamburger SV 4–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf L 2025-02-28 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 W 2025-02-23 1. FC Koln 1–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf D 2025-02-15 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2–1 Hertha BSC L 2025-02-09 Hannover 96 1–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf D 2025-02-01 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 3–2 SSV Ulm 1846 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV60% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf17%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV43% Draw43% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf14%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.