Thursday , 15 October 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SSV Ulm 1846, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 12:00 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 32,047 HT 45' · FT 45'
Isak Johannesson 9' 1–0
1–1 13' Aaron Keller
Dawid Kownacki 15' 2–1
Dawid Kownacki pen 60' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SSV Ulm 1846 — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–2 W
25 Jan Karlsruher SC A 3–2 W
17 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–5 L
14 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 1–1 D
08 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–3 L
26 Jan SSV Jahn Regensburg H 5–1 W
18 Jan 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–2 L
21 Dec SC Preußen Münster A 0–0 D
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
07 Dec Hannover 96 A 2–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Merkur Spiel-Arena will turn into a battlefield for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and SSV Ulm 1846.
  • 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SSV Ulm 1846 backline.
  • 9' Against the run of play, Isak Johannesson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 13' A goal from the Switzerland international Aaron Keller! He fires home on 13 to make it 1-1!
  • 15' Dawid Kownacki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Romario Rosch is booked for SSV Ulm 1846 — card on 19.
  • 21' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 26' Tim Oberdorf has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Philipp Strompf on 27.
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Johannes Reichert is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 37' Felix Higl has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 200 appearances.
  • 42' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Fresh legs for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf! Matthias Zimmermann comes on to replace Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 52' Assisted by Tom Gaal with the perfectly-timed delivery and Oliver Batista-Meier makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 57' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' Goal! Dawid Kownacki scores his 22 goal in 111 matches.
  • 64' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Dzenan Pejcinovic has done his job and it is now time for Danny Schmidt to step up.
  • 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player sees a card in front of him.
  • 76' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Tim Oberdorf gets a card.
  • 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 83' Another substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf to replace Myron van Brederode by Andre Hoffmann on 83 minute.
  • 86' Fresh legs for SSV Ulm 1846! Felix Higl comes on to replace Maurice Krattenmacher.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Giovanni Haag is booked for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — card on 89.
  • 90' Daniel Thioune has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vincent Vermeij is hanging Dawid Kownacki on the field on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 3-2 SSV Ulm 1846.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf56% Draw22% SSV Ulm 184622%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
78%
Draw or SSV Ulm 1846
44%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SSV Ulm 1846
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf39% Draw40% SSV Ulm 184621%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push SSV Ulm 1846 covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.