Wednesday , 29 July 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne FC, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Wed 29 Jul 2026 · 20:00 UTC Stadion Rajko Mitic HT 45' · FT 45'
Aleksandar Katai 3' 1–0
Marko Arnautovic 45+4' 2–0
Loizos Loizou 49' 3–0
Marko Arnautovic 60' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne FCChampions League Q at Stadion Rajko Mitic.

Match Details

  • Referee Jacques Mas (France)

Head-to-Head

1
FK Crvena Zvezda 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Larne FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Larne FC H 5–0 W
26 Feb Lille OSC H 0–2 L
19 Feb Lille OSC A 1–0 W
29 Jan RC Celta de Vigo H 1–1 D
22 Jan Malmo FF A 1–0 W
11 Dec SK Sturm Graz A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul FK Crvena Zvezda A 0–5 L
14 Jul SP Tre Fiori H 2–1 W
17 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola H 0–4 L
10 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 0–3 L
19 Jul Helsingin JK H 2–2 D
12 Jul Helsingin JK A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season
0% Clean Sheets
Larne FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Larne FC
0-15
/2
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Crvena Zvezda launch into their encounter with Larne FC.
  • 3' Aleksandar Katai adds to his 1 season tally! FK Crvena Zvezda lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 8' A quiet spell here at Stadion Rajko Mitic. Larne FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 13' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 18' FK Crvena Zvezda currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
  • 28' FK Crvena Zvezda have won 143 goals from 246 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 33' FK Crvena Zvezda are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Larne FC backline.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Crvena Zvezda in their trying to find a way past Larne FC's compact .
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Larne FC. Kevin O'Hara is replaced by Paul O'Neill.
  • 49' Marko Arnautovic adds to his 5 season tally! FK Crvena Zvezda lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 59' FK Crvena Zvezda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 60' Another change for Larne FC made on 60 minute. Ronan Doherty Sr leaves to be changed by James Simpson.
  • 60' Marko Arnautovic adds to his 5 season tally! FK Crvena Zvezda lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Rade Krunic as he leaves the pitch. Timi Elsnik steps in for FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 69' Kevin O'Hara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Crvena Zvezda so far.
  • 70' FK Crvena Zvezda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nikola Stankovic is hanging Young-woo Seol on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' FK Crvena Zvezda are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' Mirko Ivanic is replacing Mohammad Abu Fani for the FK Crvena Zvezda side.
  • 79' A change in the Larne FC ranks — Sean Graham exits the field as Montel Gibson enters on 79.
  • 84' FK Crvena Zvezda are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Larne FC's shape.
  • 89' Rohan Ferguson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Crvena Zvezda players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
2.57 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Larne FC xG
I would bet for: FK Crvena Zvezda to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Crvena Zvezda72% Draw17% Larne FC11%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw
90%
Draw or Larne FC
28%
FK Crvena Zvezda or Larne FC
83%

Half-Time Result

FK Crvena Zvezda56% Draw36% Larne FC8%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.8%
3 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.7%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
2.8%
5 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda covers Push Larne FC covers
-2.5 34% 66%
-2 34% 22% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 21% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
51%
Larne FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.