Tuesday , 14 July 2026

57 - Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

1 1
LIVE · 57'
Tue 14 Jul 2026 · 19:00 UTC Inver Park
0–1 11' Pietro Mengucci
Matt Ridley 25' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Larne FC vs SP Tre FioriChampions League Q at Inver Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola H 0–4 L
10 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 0–3 L
19 Jul Helsingin JK H 2–2 D
12 Jul Helsingin JK A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Riga FC A 0–1 L
04 Jul KI H 0–4 L
27 Jun KI A 1–5 L
29 Sep Europa FC A 2–4 L
19 Jul NK Rudar Velenje H 0–3 L
12 Jul NK Rudar Velenje A 0–7 L

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Larne FC and SP Tre Fiori get this one started.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Larne FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 11' Assisted by Matteo Prandelli with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pietro Mengucci makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 12' Federico Benedettini is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 17' It’s high time Danilo Girolomoni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 22' Larne FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Brilliant from the ! Matt Ridley makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 25.
  • 30' Aaron Donnelly is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SP Tre Fiori so far.
  • 32' The referee has no hesitation. Alessandro D'Addario is booked for SP Tre Fiori — card on 32.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SP Tre Fiori that had 130 games and scored 5 goals.
  • 42' SP Tre Fiori is showing some good football. However, SP Tre Fiori are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 47' Larne FC have won 4 goals from 4 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Tom Syku argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 54' Conor McКendry is having his name booked by the referee on 54.

Predictions

1.72 Larne FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 SP Tre Fiori xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

Larne FC46% Draw25% SP Tre Fiori29%

Both Teams to Score

Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.15

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Larne FC or Draw
71%
Draw or SP Tre Fiori
54%
Larne FC or SP Tre Fiori
75%

Half-Time Result

Larne FC32% Draw43% SP Tre Fiori25%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Larne FC

Handicap Larne FC covers Push SP Tre Fiori covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Larne FC keeps clean sheet
25%
SP Tre Fiori keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.