Thursday , 2 July 2026

Helsingin JK vs Larne FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1

Champions League Qualification · 2023
Helsingin JK
1 – 0
Full Time
Larne FC
Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 16:00 UTC Bolt Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Tenho 28' Y
Y 31' Cian Bolger
Y 46' Tomas Cosgrove
Y 89' Shaun Want
Y 90' Aaron Donnelly

Overview

Match Preview

Helsingin JK vs Larne FC — Champions League Q at Bolt Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Goga Kikacheishvili (Georgia)
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Helsingin JK 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Larne FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-07-12 Helsingin JK 1–0 Larne FC

Recent Form

Helsingin JK
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Larne FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Real Betis Balompie A 0–3 L
27 Oct AS Roma H 1–2 L
13 Oct PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–2 L
06 Oct PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
15 Sep AS Roma A 0–3 L
Larne FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Helsingin JK A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Helsingin JK gets underway.
  • 3' Helsingin JK is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bojan Radulovic on 3.
  • 8' It looks like no one’s ball. Larne FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lee Bonis made 95 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' Helsingin JK receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
  • 31' It’s a booking for Larne FC player. Cian Bolger gets a card.
  • 36' Shea Gordon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 41' It looks surprising Helsingin JK does not make any changes. Santeri Hostikka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomas Cosgrove on 46.
  • 51' Rohan Ferguson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Larne FC that had 4 games and scored 3 goals.
  • 64' Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Atomu Tanaka on 64 minute.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' Larne FC is showing some good football. However, Larne FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Helsingin JK team. Santeri Hostikka is replaced by Anthony Olusanya on 81 minute.
  • 83' Daniel Kearns has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dylan Sloan on 83 minute.
  • 86' Larne FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Isaac Westendorf is hanging Andy Ryan on the field on 86 minute.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shaun Want on 89.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Larne FC player. Aaron Donnelly gets a card.
  • Full Time. Helsingin JK beats Larne FC

Lineups

Helsingin JK Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Larne FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 Helsingin JK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Larne FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Helsingin JK47% Draw31% Larne FC22%
Actual: Helsingin JK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Helsingin JK or Draw
79%
Draw or Larne FC
53%
Helsingin JK or Larne FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Helsingin JK30% Draw56% Larne FC14%
Actual: Helsingin JK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Helsingin JK

Handicap Helsingin JK covers Push Larne FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Helsingin JK keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Larne FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.