Saturday , 14 November 2026

Helsingin JK vs Larne FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1

Champions League Qualification · 2023
Helsingin JK
1 – 0
Full Time
Larne FC
Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 16:00 UTC Bolt Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Tenho 28' Y
Y 31' Cian Bolger
Y 46' Tomas Cosgrove
Y 89' Shaun Want
Y 90' Aaron Donnelly

Overview

Match Preview

Helsingin JK vs Larne FC — Champions League Q at Bolt Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Goga Kikacheishvili (Georgia)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Helsingin JK 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Larne FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-07-12 Helsingin JK 1–0 Larne FC

Recent Form

Helsingin JK
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Larne FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Real Betis Balompié A 0–3 L
27 Oct AS Roma H 1–2 L
13 Oct PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–2 L
06 Oct PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
15 Sep AS Roma A 0–3 L
Larne FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Helsingin JK A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Larne FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Larne FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Larne FC
Matthew Lusty 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Helsingin JK and Larne FC get this one started.
  • 3' Bojan Radulovic doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 8' Larne FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 13' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 18' Larne FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 28' Miro Tenho is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cian Bolger on 31 minutes.
  • 36' Jesse Ost needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Helsingin JK that had 212 games and scored 76 goals.
  • 46' Larne FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 46.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' Helsingin JK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Atomu Tanaka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 64' Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Atomu Tanaka on 64 minute.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at Bolt Arena. Larne FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Helsingin JK and Larne FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 81' Another change for Helsingin JK made on 81 minute. Santeri Hostikka leaves to be changed by Anthony Olusanya.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Dylan Sloan as he leaves the pitch. Daniel Kearns steps in for Larne FC.
  • 86' Another change for Larne FC made on 86 minute. Andy Ryan leaves to be changed by Isaac Westendorf.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Shaun Want is booked for Larne FC — card on 89.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Aaron Donnelly. He receives a card.
  • Full Time. Helsingin JK beats Larne FC

Lineups

Helsingin JK Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Larne FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 Helsingin JK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Larne FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Helsingin JK47% Draw31% Larne FC22%
Actual: Helsingin JK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Helsingin JK or Draw
79%
Draw or Larne FC
53%
Helsingin JK or Larne FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Helsingin JK30% Draw56% Larne FC14%
Actual: Helsingin JK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Helsingin JK

Handicap Helsingin JK covers Push Larne FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Helsingin JK keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Larne FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.