Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Helsingin JK vs Larne FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1

Champions League Qualification · 2023
Helsingin JK
1 – 0
Full Time
Larne FC
Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 16:00 UTC Bolt Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Tenho 28' Y
Y 31' Cian Bolger
Y 46' Tomas Cosgrove
Y 89' Shaun Want
Y 90' Aaron Donnelly

Overview

Match Preview

Helsingin JK vs Larne FC — Champions League Q at Bolt Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Goga Kikacheishvili (Georgia)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Helsingin JK 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Larne FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-07-12 Helsingin JK 1–0 Larne FC

Recent Form

Helsingin JK
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Larne FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Real Betis Balompié A 0–3 L
27 Oct AS Roma H 1–2 L
13 Oct PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–2 L
06 Oct PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
15 Sep AS Roma A 0–3 L
Larne FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Helsingin JK A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Larne FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Larne FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Larne FC
Matthew Lusty 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Bolt Arena that hosts another battle between Helsingin JK and Larne FC.
  • 3' What a strike from Bojan Radulovic! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' Michael Glynn has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 13' Helsingin JK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Larne FC's shape.
  • 18' The travelling Larne FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' Miro Tenho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Cian Bolger.
  • 36' Santeri Hostikka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Larne FC tonight.
  • 41' Larne FC is showing some good football. However, Larne FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Tomas Cosgrove.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Larne FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 61' Helsingin JK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' The whistle greets Atomu Tanaka as he departs to be replaced by Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan.
  • 69' Perparim Hetemaj is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Larne FC so far.
  • 74' Helsingin JK started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 79' Helsingin JK are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Helsingin JK team. Santeri Hostikka is replaced by Anthony Olusanya on 81 minute.
  • 83' The Larne FC bench stirs into life. Dylan Sloan is withdrawn and Daniel Kearns gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Larne FC make a change. Andy Ryan trudges off to be replaced by Isaac Westendorf on 86 minutes.
  • 89' The referee shows Larne FC player a card on 89.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Aaron Donnelly.
  • Another three points for Helsingin JK.

Lineups

Helsingin JK Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Larne FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 Helsingin JK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Larne FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Helsingin JK47% Draw31% Larne FC22%
Actual: Helsingin JK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Helsingin JK or Draw
79%
Draw or Larne FC
53%
Helsingin JK or Larne FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Helsingin JK30% Draw56% Larne FC14%
Actual: Helsingin JK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Helsingin JK

Handicap Helsingin JK covers Push Larne FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Helsingin JK keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Larne FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.