FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season
🟨 5.7/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 6–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC St. Pauli 1910 have kicked off against Borussia Dortmund. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 13' Nico Schlotterbeck picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 23' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' Philipp Treu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 48' Lars Ritzka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
- 51' A goal from the Guinea international Sehrou Guirassy! He fires home on 51 to make it 0-1!
- 56' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Elias Saad trudges off to be replaced by Oladapo Afolayan on 57 minutes.
- 58' GOAL! Karim Adeyemi scores on 58. Assisted by Maximilian Beier
- 63' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 149 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 68' Germany international Noah Weisshaupt has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 73' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Abdoulie Ceesay comes on to replace Johannes Eggestein.
- 74' Carney Chukwuemeka gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Gio Reyna and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Abdoulie Ceesay on 79 minutes.
- 82' Karim Adeyemi was booked on 82.
- 83' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replacing Karim Adeyemi for the Borussia Dortmund side.
- 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 89' Sehrou Guirassy makes way for Julian Brandt at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
- Borussia Dortmund celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Manolis Saliakas 83'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Danel Sinani 83'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 57'
- 23
Bench
- 25
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 83'
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 57'
- 1
- 19
- 18
-
2
Manolis Saliakas ↑ 83'
- 20
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 73'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 1
- 20
-
9
Sehrou Guirassy ↓ Julian Brandt 89'
- 23
- 4
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↓ Salih Ozcan 89'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↓ Carney Chukwuemeka 74'
- 27
- 2
Bench
- 25
-
10
Julian Brandt ↑ 89'
- 3
- 33
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↑ 89'
-
24
Daniel Svensson ↑ 74'
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 74'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 83'
- 16
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Karim Adeyemi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-03-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-02-22
Borussia Dortmund
6–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-02-19
Borussia Dortmund
0–0
Sporting Clube de Portugal
D
2025-02-15
VfL Bochum 1848
2–0
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-02-11
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-02-08
Borussia Dortmund
1–2
VfB Stuttgart
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Borussia Dortmund or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
56%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Borussia Dortmund
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

