Tuesday , 6 October 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,564 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 51' Sehrou Guirassy
0–2 58' Karim Adeyemi

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
3
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W
19 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–0 D
15 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–2 L
11 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 3–0 W
08 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC St. Pauli 1910 have kicked off against Borussia Dortmund. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 13' Nico Schlotterbeck picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 23' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 33' Philipp Treu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' Lars Ritzka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' A goal from the Guinea international Sehrou Guirassy! He fires home on 51 to make it 0-1!
  • 56' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Elias Saad trudges off to be replaced by Oladapo Afolayan on 57 minutes.
  • 58' GOAL! Karim Adeyemi scores on 58. Assisted by Maximilian Beier
  • 63' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 149 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 68' Germany international Noah Weisshaupt has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 73' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Abdoulie Ceesay comes on to replace Johannes Eggestein.
  • 74' Carney Chukwuemeka gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Gio Reyna and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Abdoulie Ceesay on 79 minutes.
  • 82' Karim Adeyemi was booked on 82.
  • 83' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replacing Karim Adeyemi for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 89' Sehrou Guirassy makes way for Julian Brandt at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
  • Borussia Dortmund celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191026% Draw30% Borussia Dortmund44%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
56%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Borussia Dortmund
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191018% Draw50% Borussia Dortmund32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 23% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.