FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
5 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 6–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 0 |
| 34 | Played | 0 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 29 | Scored | 0 |
| 60 | Conceded | 0 |
| -31 | GD | +0 |
| 0.76 | PPG | – |
| 18% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Borussia Dortmund gets underway.
- 5' The 28-year-old Salih Ozcan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 13' A moment of madness from Nico Schlotterbeck on 13 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
- 18' Germany international Julian Brandt has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 38' Hauke Finn Wahl has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 277 appearances.
- 43' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 51' The deadlock is broken! Sehrou Guirassy gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
- 56' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 57' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Oladapo Afolayan on, Elias Saad off on 57 minutes.
- 58' Magnificent from Karim Adeyemi! That is 32 goals in 222 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Gregor Kobel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Abdoulie Ceesay. He replaces Johannes Eggestein on 73 minute.
- 74' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Gio Reyna by Carney Chukwuemeka on 74 minute.
- 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Abdoulie Ceesay on 79 minutes.
- 82' Karim Adeyemi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 83' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replacing Karim Adeyemi for the Borussia Dortmund side.
- 88' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 89' Julian Brandt gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Sehrou Guirassy and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC St. Pauli 1910.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Manolis Saliakas 83'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Danel Sinani 83'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 57'
- 23
Bench
- 25
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 83'
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 57'
- 1
- 19
- 18
-
2
Manolis Saliakas ↑ 83'
- 20
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 73'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 1
- 20
-
9
Sehrou Guirassy ↓ Julian Brandt 89'
- 23
- 4
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↓ Salih Ozcan 89'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↓ Carney Chukwuemeka 74'
- 27
- 2
Bench
- 25
-
10
Julian Brandt ↑ 89'
- 3
- 33
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↑ 89'
-
24
Daniel Svensson ↑ 74'
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 74'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 83'
- 16
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Karim Adeyemi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-03-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-02-22
Borussia Dortmund
6–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-02-19
Borussia Dortmund
0–0
Sporting Clube de Portugal
D
2025-02-15
VfL Bochum 1848
2–0
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-02-11
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-02-08
Borussia Dortmund
1–2
VfB Stuttgart
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.31
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 88% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 1.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 2.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
56%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
83%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Borussia Dortmund
61%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.8%
0 – 1
25.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3%
2 – 1
1.3%
1 – 3
1.2%
2 – 0
1.2%
2 – 2
0.7%
0 – 4
0.7%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 9% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 12% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
74%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.