FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 6–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 70 |
| 60 | Conceded | 34 |
| -31 | GD | +36 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 18% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC St. Pauli 1910 kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Julian Brandt is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
- 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 13' Poor challenge from Nico Schlotterbeck. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 18' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nico Schlotterbeck, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 48' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 51' Sehrou Guirassy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 51 minutes.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 57' Oladapo Afolayan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elias Saad at the 57 minute mark.
- 58' Assisted by Maximilian Beier with the perfectly-timed delivery and Karim Adeyemi makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 63' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 68' Borussia Dortmund looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Abdoulie Ceesay. He replaces Johannes Eggestein on 73 minute.
- 74' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Gio Reyna has done his job and it is now time for Carney Chukwuemeka to step up.
- 79' It’s gonna be a card for Abdoulie Ceesay.
- 82' Karim Adeyemi was booked on 82.
- 83' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Karim Adeyemi is replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 83 minute.
- 88' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 89' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Sehrou Guirassy departs to be replaced by Julian Brandt.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Manolis Saliakas 83'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Danel Sinani 83'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 57'
- 23
Bench
- 25
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 83'
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 57'
- 1
- 19
- 18
-
2
Manolis Saliakas ↑ 83'
- 20
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 73'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 1
- 20
-
9
Sehrou Guirassy ↓ Julian Brandt 89'
- 23
- 4
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↓ Salih Ozcan 89'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↓ Carney Chukwuemeka 74'
- 27
- 2
Bench
- 25
-
10
Julian Brandt ↑ 89'
- 3
- 33
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↑ 89'
-
24
Daniel Svensson ↑ 74'
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 74'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 83'
- 16
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Karim Adeyemi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-03-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-02-22
Borussia Dortmund
6–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-02-19
Borussia Dortmund
0–0
Sporting Clube de Portugal
D
2025-02-15
VfL Bochum 1848
2–0
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-02-11
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-02-08
Borussia Dortmund
1–2
VfB Stuttgart
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.61
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 60% + Borussia Dortmund to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
40%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
84%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Borussia Dortmund
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 3
9%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 4
4.4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 4
2.8%
2 – 1
2.7%
2 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 2% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| +0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.