1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 0

Full Time

FC St. Pauli 1910

Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jae-sung Lee 67' 1–0

Paul Nebel 90+5' 2–0

Kaishu Sano 18' Y

Y 24' Philipp Treu

Dominik Kohr 50' Y

Y 65' Siebe Van der Heyden

Paul Nebel 87' Y

Y 90' David Nemeth

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Felix Zwayer
Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
Assistant 2 Christian Dietz

35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–0	W
16 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W
08 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	0–0	D
31 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–1	L
25 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–2	L
15 Feb	SC Freiburg	H	0–1	L
09 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	0–2	L
01 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	1–1	D
26 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–0	W
18 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		FC St. Pauli 1910
#10	Position	#18
40	Points	26
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 20
44	Scored	29
53	Conceded	60
-9	GD	-31
1.18	PPG	0.76
29%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC St. Pauli 1910

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/1

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to MEWA Arena that hosts another battle between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli 1910.
5' Hauke Finn Wahl, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
18' The referee calls foul for Kaishu Sano. He receives a card.
23' Elias Saad has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Philipp Treu.
29' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Adam Dzwigala has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli 1910 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FSV Mainz 05 winning 50% of all matches.
46' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Nelson Weiper is replaced by Jae-sung Lee.
50' It’s gonna be a card for Dominik Kohr.
55' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Oladapo Afolayan made 14 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
62' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Lars Ritzka departs to be replaced by Adam Dzwigala.
65' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Siebe Van der Heyden gets a card.
66' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 66 minute. Dominik Kohr leaves to be changed by Andreas Hanche-Olsen.
67' Jae-sung Lee adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
68' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Elias Saad has done his job and it is now time for Oladapo Afolayan to step up.
73' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 73 minute.
78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
82' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Abdoulie Ceesay is hanging Philipp Treu on the field on 82 minute.
83' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Danel Sinani on, Noah Weisshaupt off on 83 minutes.
87' The referee has no hesitation. Paul Nebel is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 87.
90' The referee has no hesitation. David Nemeth is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 90.
Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats FC St. Pauli 1910

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 66'
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Silvan Widmer 83'
27
Robin Zentner
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Armindo Sieb 73'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa
8
Paul Nebel
3
Moritz Jenz
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Jae-sung Lee 46'
6
Kaishu Sano

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	2
Armindo Sieb	1
Paul Nebel	1
Jae-sung Lee	1
Abdoulie Ceesay	1
Philipp Mwene	1
Phillip Tietz	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.78 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.46 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 68% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0566% Draw23% FC St. Pauli 191011%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

89%

Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910

34%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC St. Pauli 1910

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0546% Draw47% FC St. Pauli 19107%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

18.3%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

12.6%

3 – 0

9.5%

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

7.6%

3 – 1

4.7%

4 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

4 – 1

2.2%

1 – 2

1.9%

2 – 2

1.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	22%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	27%	32%
-0.5	68%	—	32%
+0.5	92%	—	8%
+1	92%	6%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

63% ✓

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Clean Sheet