1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at MEWA Arena as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against FC St. Pauli 1910 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jackson Irvine suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kaishu Sano on 18 minutes.
- 23' Germany international Nelson Weiper has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 24' The referee has no hesitation. Philipp Treu is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 24.
- 29' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Paul Nebel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hauke Finn Wahl is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 44' Danel Sinani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Nelson Weiper by Jae-sung Lee on 46 minute.
- 50' Dominik Kohr catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
- 55' FC St. Pauli 1910 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 62' Adam Dzwigala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lars Ritzka at the 62 minute mark.
- 65' It’s gonna be a card for Siebe Van der Heyden.
- 66' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Dominik Kohr by Andreas Hanche-Olsen on 66 minute.
- 67' Jae-sung Lee doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 68' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 68 minute. Elias Saad leaves to be changed by Oladapo Afolayan.
- 73' The whistle greets Jonathan Burkardt as he departs to be replaced by Armindo Sieb.
- 78' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 157 goals from 285 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 82' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Philipp Treu is withdrawn and Abdoulie Ceesay gets his opportunity.
- 83' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Noah Weisshaupt trudges off to be replaced by Danel Sinani on 83 minutes.
- 87' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 90' Poor challenge from David Nemeth. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-0 FC St. Pauli 1910.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Silvan Widmer 83'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 3
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Jae-sung Lee 46'
- 6
Bench
- 5
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 83'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 66'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 73'
- 1
- 14
- 22
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↑ 46'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Adam Dzwigala 62'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Danel Sinani 83'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 68'
-
23
Philipp Treu ↓ Abdoulie Ceesay 82'
Bench
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 62'
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 83'
- 24
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 68'
- 1
- 18
- 16
- 20
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 82'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 |
| Phillip Tietz | 1 |
| Armindo Sieb | 1 |
| Paul Nebel | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-02-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-15
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-01-18
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 63% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
86%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
39%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.