1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host FC St. Pauli 1910 — let the battle begin!
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-3.
- 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kaishu Sano.
- 23' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 24' That looks like a foul for a card for Philipp Treu.
- 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli 1910 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 34' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Nelson Weiper is replaced by Jae-sung Lee on 46 minute.
- 50' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 55' Adam Dzwigala has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 62' Adam Dzwigala is replacing Lars Ritzka for the FC St. Pauli 1910 side.
- 65' Siebe Van der Heyden was booked on 65.
- 66' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Dominik Kohr by Andreas Hanche-Olsen on 66 minute.
- 67' Brilliant from the midfielder! Jae-sung Lee makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 67.
- 68' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Elias Saad departs to be replaced by Oladapo Afolayan.
- 73' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 73 minute. Jonathan Burkardt leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
- 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 82' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Philipp Treu by Abdoulie Ceesay on 82 minute.
- 83' Danel Sinani is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noah Weisshaupt at the 83 minute mark.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Paul Nebel. He receives a card.
- 90' That is a card for FC St. Pauli 1910. David Nemeth will be fuming at that decision.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Silvan Widmer 83'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 3
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Jae-sung Lee 46'
- 6
Bench
- 5
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 83'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 66'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 73'
- 1
- 14
- 22
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↑ 46'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Adam Dzwigala 62'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Danel Sinani 83'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 68'
-
23
Philipp Treu ↓ Abdoulie Ceesay 82'
Bench
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 62'
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 83'
- 24
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 68'
- 1
- 18
- 16
- 20
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 82'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 |
| Phillip Tietz | 1 |
| Armindo Sieb | 1 |
| Paul Nebel | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-02-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-15
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-01-18
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 63% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
86%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
39%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
55%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.