1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 0 | Points | 26 |
| 0 | Played | 34 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 |
| 0 | Scored | 29 |
| 0 | Conceded | 60 |
| +0 | GD | -31 |
| – | PPG | 0.76 |
| – | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting FC St. Pauli 1910 for another epic battle.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
- 18' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 18.
- 23' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC St. Pauli 1910 backline.
- 24' It’s gonna be a card for Philipp Treu.
- 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 34' Hauke Finn Wahl is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
- 39' FC St. Pauli 1910 come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Jae-sung Lee on, Nelson Weiper off on 46 minutes.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Dominik Kohr argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 62' Adam Dzwigala has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lars Ritzka on 62 minute.
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Siebe Van der Heyden on 65.
- 66' Andreas Hanche-Olsen gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Dominik Kohr and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Against the run of play, Jae-sung Lee has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 68' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Oladapo Afolayan comes on to replace Elias Saad.
- 73' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 73 minute. Jonathan Burkardt leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
- 78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 82' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Philipp Treu has done his job and it is now time for Abdoulie Ceesay to step up.
- 83' The crowd applauds Noah Weisshaupt as he leaves the pitch. Danel Sinani steps in for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Paul Nebel. He receives a card.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for David Nemeth.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Silvan Widmer 83'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 3
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Jae-sung Lee 46'
- 6
Bench
- 5
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 83'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 66'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 73'
- 1
- 14
- 22
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↑ 46'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Adam Dzwigala 62'
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 4
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Danel Sinani 83'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 68'
-
23
Philipp Treu ↓ Abdoulie Ceesay 82'
Bench
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 62'
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 83'
- 24
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 68'
- 1
- 18
- 16
- 20
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 82'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Armindo Sieb | 1 |
| Paul Nebel | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 |
| Phillip Tietz | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-02-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-15
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-01-18
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.97
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 1.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 2.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 3.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
88%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
47%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC St. Pauli 1910
65%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.7%
1 – 0
25.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
1.5%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1%
4 – 0
1%
2 – 2
0.7%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 14% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 31% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 8% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
74%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.