Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Morgan Guilavogui 31' 1–0
Morgan Guilavogui 51' 2–0
Danel Sinani 90+3' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 15.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
21 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
14 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
15 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
11 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–4 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 2–3 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G 1 A
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191053% Draw26% 1. FC Union Berlin21%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
47%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FC Union Berlin
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191036% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin17%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.