Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Morgan Guilavogui 31' 1–0
Morgan Guilavogui 51' 2–0
Danel Sinani 90+3' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
21 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
14 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
15 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
11 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–4 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 1. FC Union Berlin
#18 Position #11
26 Points 39
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
29 Scored 44
60 Conceded 58
-31 GD -14
0.76 PPG 1.15
18% Win % 29%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FC Union Berlin kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Robert Skov made 105 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Janik Haberer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Aljoscha Kemlein, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' FC St. Pauli 1910 currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' 1. FC Union Berlin fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 31' Goal! Morgan Guilavogui scores his 37 goal in 435 matches.
  • 35' It’s a booking for 1. FC Union Berlin player. Andras Schafer gets a card.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FC Union Berlin are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Lars Ritzka by Carlo Boukhalfa on 46 minute.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Laszlo Benes.
  • 51' A goal from the Guinea international Morgan Guilavogui! He fires home on 51 to make it 2-0!
  • 51' Leopold Querfeld was booked on 51.
  • 56' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 60' The 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes a substitution. Jordan Siebatcheu departs to be replaced by Kevin Volland.
  • 65' Yorbe Vertessen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Janik Haberer is replaced by Tim Skarke on 71 minute.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danilho Doekhi, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 78' Oladapo Afolayan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noah Weisshaupt at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' 1. FC Union Berlin are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danel Sinani is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FC Union Berlin share the spoils 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191048% Draw27% 1. FC Union Berlin25%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
52%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FC Union Berlin
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191032% Draw48% 1. FC Union Berlin20%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
34%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.