Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Morgan Guilavogui 31' 1–0
Morgan Guilavogui 51' 2–0
Danel Sinani 90+3' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
21 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
14 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
15 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
11 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–4 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 1. FC Union Berlin
#3 Position #17
26 Points 0
34 Played 0
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
29 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-31 GD +0
0.76 PPG
18% Win %

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' 1. FC Union Berlin come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli 1910 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' 1. FC Union Berlin fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FC Union Berlin are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FC Union Berlin are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 31' Morgan Guilavogui has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
  • 35' It’s a booking for 1. FC Union Berlin player. Andras Schafer gets a card.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steffen Baumgart will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Lars Ritzka has done his job and it is now time for Carlo Boukhalfa to step up.
  • 50' Laszlo Benes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
  • 51' Morgan Guilavogui adds to his 1 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 51' 1. FC Union Berlin player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Aljoscha Kemlein has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 60' Another change for 1. FC Union Berlin made on 60 minute. Jordan Siebatcheu leaves to be changed by Kevin Volland.
  • 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 70' Greece international Manolis Saliakas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 71' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Janik Haberer by Tim Skarke on 71 minute.
  • 76' Janik Haberer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 493 appearances.
  • 78' Oladapo Afolayan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noah Weisshaupt at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past 1. FC Union Berlin's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Danel Sinani comes on to replace Johannes Eggestein.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.41 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191049% Draw35% 1. FC Union Berlin16%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
84%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
51%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FC Union Berlin
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191028% Draw64% 1. FC Union Berlin8%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.8%
1 – 0
23%
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
10.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
2%
0 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 29% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
66%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.