Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Morgan Guilavogui 31' 1–0
Morgan Guilavogui 51' 2–0
Danel Sinani 90+3' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L
21 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
14 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–3 L
19 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
15 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
11 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 1–4 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 2–3 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion!
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steffen Baumgart will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 149 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' The travelling 1. FC Union Berlin supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' Morgan Guilavogui does the damage! The net is bulging and FC St. Pauli 1910 surge ahead!
  • 35' Andras Schafer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' 1. FC Union Berlin fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Union Berlin needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Carlo Boukhalfa on, Lars Ritzka off on 46 minutes.
  • 50' That is a card for 1. FC Union Berlin. Laszlo Benes will be fuming at that decision.
  • 51' Brilliant from the ! Morgan Guilavogui makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 51.
  • 51' That is a card for 1. FC Union Berlin. Leopold Querfeld will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 60' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Jordan Siebatcheu is replaced by Kevin Volland on 60 minute.
  • 65' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 71' Janik Haberer makes way for Tim Skarke at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Union Berlin.
  • 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' Oladapo Afolayan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noah Weisshaupt at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yorbe Vertessen made 441 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' Andras Schafer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 421 appearances.
  • 90' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danel Sinani is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 90 minute.
  • FC St. Pauli 1910 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191053% Draw26% 1. FC Union Berlin21%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
47%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FC Union Berlin
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191036% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin17%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.