Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 46,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 16' 1–0
Xavi Simons 35' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Stein
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 1' Lutsharel Geertruida is having his name booked by the referee on 1.
  • 6' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Amadou Haidara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' Poor challenge from Siebe Van der Heyden. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 16' The deadlock is broken! Benjamin Sesko gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Johannes Eggestein suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' David Raum has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 317 appearances.
  • 31' The 32-year-old Hauke Finn Wahl has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' GOAL! Xavi Simons scores on 35. Assisted by Benjamin Sesko
  • 40' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Lutsharel Geertruida is withdrawn and Nicolas Seiwald gets his opportunity.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' David Nemeth has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Carlo Boukhalfa has done his job and it is now time for Elias Saad to step up.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adam Dzwigala.
  • 63' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Kampl.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Willi Orban on 69.
  • 73' El Chadaille Bitshiabu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 80' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 80 minute. Noah Weisshaupt leaves to be changed by Scott Banks.
  • 83' Lukas Klostermann gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Castello Lukeba and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig54% Draw26% FC St. Pauli 191020%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
80%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
46%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig36% Draw48% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.