Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 46,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 16' 1–0
Xavi Simons 35' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Stein

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC St. Pauli 1910
#9 Position #3
0 Points 26
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -31
PPG 0.76
Win % 18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 1' Lutsharel Geertruida catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 1.
  • 6' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 11' Poor challenge from Siebe Van der Heyden. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 16' GOAL! Benjamin Sesko scores on 16. Assisted by Xavi Simons
  • 21' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 31' Scotland international Scott Banks has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' What composure from Xavi Simons! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Nicolas Seiwald comes on to replace Lutsharel Geertruida.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Carlo Boukhalfa has done his job and it is now time for Elias Saad to step up.
  • 58' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Adam Dzwigala gets a card.
  • 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Kampl.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Willi Orban on 69.
  • 73' El Chadaille Bitshiabu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Kampl at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' The crowd applauds Noah Weisshaupt as he leaves the pitch. Scott Banks steps in for FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 83' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Castello Lukeba by Lukas Klostermann on 83 minute.
  • 88' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • FC St. Pauli 1910 will have plenty to reflect on. RB Leipzig were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.36 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig50% Draw36% FC St. Pauli 191014%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
85%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
50%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig27% Draw66% FC St. Pauli 19107%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.8%
1 – 0
24.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 2
1.6%
0 – 2
1.5%
3 – 1
1.5%
2 – 2
0.9%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 29% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
70%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.