RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Thomas Stein
18 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jan | SK Sturm Graz | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #18 |
| 65 | Points | 26 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 |
| 66 | Scored | 29 |
| 47 | Conceded | 60 |
| +19 | GD | -31 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 0.76 |
| 59% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC St. Pauli 1910 gets underway.
- 1' Lutsharel Geertruida was booked on 1.
- 6' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 11' It’s gonna be a card for Siebe Van der Heyden.
- 16' Magnificent from Benjamin Sesko! That is 42 goals in 222 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Johannes Eggestein suffering a number of foals already.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' GOAL! Xavi Simons fires home to make it 2-0!
- 40' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-3.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Lutsharel Geertruida makes way for Nicolas Seiwald at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 51' Amadou Haidara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Carlo Boukhalfa trudges off to be replaced by Elias Saad on 57 minutes.
- 58' Adam Dzwigala catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 58.
- 63' Ridle Baku has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Kampl is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 66.
- 69' Poor challenge from Willi Orban. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' Kevin Kampl makes way for El Chadaille Bitshiabu at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 78' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 80' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Scott Banks comes on to replace Noah Weisshaupt.
- 83' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Castello Lukeba has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Klostermann to step up.
- 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- The points are shared — RB Leipzig 2-0 FC St. Pauli 1910. Honours even.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 1
- 4
- 44
- 22
- 8
- 10
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Lois Openda 73'
- 7
Bench
-
11
Lois Openda ↑ 73'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 73'
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 83'
- 26
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 46'
-
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu ↑ 73'
- 18
- 27
- 21
Coach
Marco Rose
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
- 6
- 8
- 22
- 44
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Elias Saad 57'
-
4
David Nemeth ↓ Abdoulie Ceesay 80'
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Scott Banks 80'
- 23
Bench
- 21
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 57'
- 10
- 17
- 1
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 80'
-
26
Elias Saad ↑ 57'
- 14
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 80'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Xaver Schlager | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
| Xavi Simons | 1 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-01-18
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-01-15
VfL Bochum 1848
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-01-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig to win 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
87%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
34%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12%
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.