RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Thomas Stein
8 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern Munchen | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Koln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jan | SK Sturm Graz | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 1' The referee has no hesitation. Lutsharel Geertruida is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 1.
- 6' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Siebe Van der Heyden on 11.
- 16' What a moment for Benjamin Sesko! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 26' Australia international Jackson Irvine has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' GOAL! Xavi Simons fires home to make it 2-0!
- 40' Adam Dzwigala has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-3.
- 46' Nicolas Seiwald gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Lutsharel Geertruida and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' FC St. Pauli 1910 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 57' Elias Saad has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlo Boukhalfa on 57 minute.
- 58' Adam Dzwigala is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 63' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Kampl.
- 69' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 73' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Kevin Kampl departs to be replaced by El Chadaille Bitshiabu.
- 78' Elias Saad needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 80' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Noah Weisshaupt is replaced by Scott Banks.
- 83' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Castello Lukeba departs to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
- 88' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. FC St. Pauli 1910 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 1
- 4
- 44
- 22
- 8
- 10
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Lois Openda 73'
- 7
Bench
-
11
Lois Openda ↑ 73'
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 73'
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 83'
- 26
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 46'
-
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu ↑ 73'
- 18
- 27
- 21
Coach
Marco Rose
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
- 6
- 8
- 22
- 44
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Elias Saad 57'
-
4
David Nemeth ↓ Abdoulie Ceesay 80'
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Scott Banks 80'
- 23
Bench
- 21
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 57'
- 10
- 17
- 1
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 80'
-
26
Elias Saad ↑ 57'
- 14
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 80'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Xaver Schlager | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-01-18
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-01-15
VfL Bochum 1848
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-01-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
80%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
46%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

