Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 46,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
Benjamin Sesko 16' 1–0
Xavi Simons 35' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Stein
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
01 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Jan SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
25 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–1 W
18 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
11 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–1 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 1' The referee has no hesitation. Lutsharel Geertruida is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 1.
  • 6' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Siebe Van der Heyden on 11.
  • 16' What a moment for Benjamin Sesko! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 26' Australia international Jackson Irvine has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' GOAL! Xavi Simons fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 40' Adam Dzwigala has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-3.
  • 46' Nicolas Seiwald gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Lutsharel Geertruida and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' FC St. Pauli 1910 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 57' Elias Saad has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlo Boukhalfa on 57 minute.
  • 58' Adam Dzwigala is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Kampl.
  • 69' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 73' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Kevin Kampl departs to be replaced by El Chadaille Bitshiabu.
  • 78' Elias Saad needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 80' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Noah Weisshaupt is replaced by Scott Banks.
  • 83' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Castello Lukeba departs to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
  • 88' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. FC St. Pauli 1910 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig54% Draw26% FC St. Pauli 191020%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
80%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
46%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig36% Draw48% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.