Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 89' Philipp Treu og
David Nemeth 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
01 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
25 Jan FC Bayern Munchen H 1–2 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
14 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kiliann Sildillia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' SC Freiburg come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' David Nemeth is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Abdoulie Ceesay has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Noah Atubolu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 62' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Elias Saad by Oladapo Afolayan on 62 minute.
  • 63' Poor challenge from David Nemeth. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 68' FC St. Pauli 1910 currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 75' Eren Dinkci is ready to make an impact after coming on for Merlin Rohl at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Julian Schuster might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 82' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Lars Ritzka comes on to replace Siebe Van der Heyden.
  • 87' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • 89' Philipp Treu adds to his 0 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' Abdoulie Ceesay is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Nemeth at the 90 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191041% Draw31% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
59%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Freiburg
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191030% Draw51% SC Freiburg19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.