Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 89' Philipp Treu og
David Nemeth 63' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
09 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
26 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
18 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
15 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
01 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
25 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
14 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jackson Irvine is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Sands suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Noah Atubolu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 496 appearances.
  • 20' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Schuster will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against SC Freiburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 60' Jan-Niklas Beste is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 62' Oladapo Afolayan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Elias Saad on 62 minute.
  • 63' David Nemeth was booked on 63.
  • 68' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past SC Freiburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 73' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 75' Another change for SC Freiburg made on 75 minute. Merlin Rohl leaves to be changed by Eren Dinkci.
  • 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 82' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Siebe Van der Heyden exits the field as Lars Ritzka enters on 82.
  • 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 89' What a moment for Philipp Treu! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' Abdoulie Ceesay has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Nemeth on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC St. Pauli 1910.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191041% Draw31% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
59%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Freiburg
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191030% Draw51% SC Freiburg19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.