FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #7 |
| 26 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 29 | Scored | 51 |
| 60 | Conceded | 57 |
| -31 | GD | -6 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 18% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Millerntor-Stadion.
- 5' Jackson Irvine needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' SC Freiburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Christian Gunter is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 25' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Johannes Eggestein has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' The 29-year-old Eric Smith has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 62' The whistle greets Elias Saad as he departs to be replaced by Oladapo Afolayan.
- 63' David Nemeth was booked on 63.
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Nemeth made 141 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Eren Dinkci. He replaces Merlin Rohl on 75 minute.
- 80' Hauke Finn Wahl, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 82' The crowd applauds Siebe Van der Heyden as he leaves the pitch. Lars Ritzka steps in for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 87' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 89' Brilliant from the ! Philipp Treu makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 89.
- 90' Abdoulie Ceesay gets the nod from FC St. Pauli 1910. He replaces David Nemeth and will look to change the dynamic.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
- 6
- 8
- 22
- 44
-
4
David Nemeth ↓ Abdoulie Ceesay 90'
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Scott Banks 82'
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 62'
- 23
Bench
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 82'
- 25
- 10
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 62'
- 1
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 90'
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 82'
- 16
-
9
Abdoulie Ceesay ↑ 90'
Coach
Alexander Blessin
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
42
Ritsu Doan ↓ Max Rosenfelder 90'
- 32
- 30
- 3
- 9
- 28
- 6
- 25
-
34
Merlin Rohl ↓ Eren Dinkci 75'
- 1
Bench
-
19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 75'
- 26
- 21
- 27
- 20
-
18
Eren Dinkci ↑ 75'
- 33
-
37
Max Rosenfelder ↑ 90'
- 44
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Daschner | 2 |
| Elias Saad | 2 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 1 |
| Matthias Ginter | 1 |
| Oladapo Afolayan | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-02-15
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2025-02-09
RB Leipzig
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-02-01
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-01-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-01-18
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-01-15
VfL Bochum 1848
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Freiburg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
65%
Draw or SC Freiburg
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Freiburg
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.