Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 18 Oct 2024 · 18:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ramy Bensebaini 43' 1–0
1–1 78' Eric Smith
Sehrou Guirassy 83' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Sven Waschitzki
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
1
Borussia Dortmund 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
05 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Oct Celtic FC H 7–1 W
27 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–2 W
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
30 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund56% Draw23% FC St. Pauli 191021%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
79%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
44%
Borussia Dortmund or FC St. Pauli 1910
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund39% Draw42% FC St. Pauli 191019%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.