Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 18 Oct 2024 · 18:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ramy Bensebaini 43' 1–0
1–1 78' Eric Smith
Sehrou Guirassy 83' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Sven Waschitzki
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
1
Borussia Dortmund 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
05 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Oct Celtic FC H 7–1 W
27 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–2 W
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
30 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC St. Pauli 1910
#2 Position #18
73 Points 26
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
70 Scored 29
34 Conceded 60
+36 GD -31
2.15 PPG 0.76
65% Win % 18%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.59 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund69% Draw18% FC St. Pauli 191013%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
87%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
31%
Borussia Dortmund or FC St. Pauli 1910
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund54% Draw36% FC St. Pauli 191010%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
1 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 31% 69%
-2 31% 21% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 21% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
42%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.