FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 9 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 9 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Alverca | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Famalicao | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria SC | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | CS Maritimo | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Nacional | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 9 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | FC Alverca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | CD Santa Clara | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | CS Maritimo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | FC Famalicao | H | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | FC Alverca | H | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Sep | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 17 | Points | 7 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 5 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 6 |
| 12 | Scored | 10 |
| 7 | Conceded | 18 |
| +5 | GD | -8 |
| 1.89 | PPG | 0.78 |
| 56% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
FC Arouca are 5th (17 pts). CD Nacional are 17th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Arouca
| Barbero | 5 G |
| Jose Fontan | 2 G |
| Dylan Nandin | 2 G |
CD Nacional
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
2.14
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
FC Arouca to win 68%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
88%
Draw or CD Nacional
32%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
80%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 24% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
48%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
13%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

