Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
FC Arouca
3 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Lui-s Carlos Mateus Filipe (Portugal)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

5
FC Arouca 5 games · Avg 2.2 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional 2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb CD Nacional H 3–0 W
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
15 Feb FC Porto H 0–1 L
08 Feb Casa Pia AC H 0–0 D
01 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–2 L
25 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–0 W
17 Jan Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Arouca CD Nacional
#5 Position #13
20 Points 10
11 Played 11
6 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 7
13 Scored 11
8 Conceded 19
+5 GD -8
1.82 PPG 0.91
55% Win % 27%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Arouca are 5th (20 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 5 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G
CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CD Nacional get us underway at .
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Arouca to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Henrique Araujo 2
Ulisses 1
Pablo Gozalbez 1
Tiago Esgaio 1

Head to Head

2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional 2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

FC Arouca Form

2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional W 2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca L 2026-02-07 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC W 2026-01-31 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca W 2026-01-24 FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2026-01-17 AVS 0–1 FC Arouca W

CD Nacional Form

2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional L 2026-02-15 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Porto L 2026-02-08 CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC D 2026-02-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2–1 CD Nacional L 2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC W 2026-01-17 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: FC Arouca to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca69% Draw20% CD Nacional11%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
89%
Draw or CD Nacional
31%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca49% Draw42% CD Nacional9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.1%
1 – 0
13.3%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.2%
4 – 0
5%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
2.8%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 22% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 24% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
54% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.