FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Lui-s Carlos Mateus Filipe (Portugal)
5 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | CD Nacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Casa Pia AC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | Vitória SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Jan | Rio Ave FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Jan | AVS | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | FC Arouca | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | FC Porto | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Rio Ave FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #14 |
| 42 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 47 | Scored | 37 |
| 64 | Conceded | 45 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: CD Nacional gets underway.
- With this win, FC Arouca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
FC Arouca to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
82%
Draw or CD Nacional
40%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.