FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 11 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitoria SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Moreirense FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Aug | Vitoria SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Vitoria SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 12 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–5 | L |
| 05 May | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | FC Arouca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–6 | L |
| 10 Aug | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 May | FC Famalicao | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 20 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 6 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 11 |
| 8 | Conceded | 19 |
| +5 | GD | -8 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 55% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
55%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
FC Arouca are 5th (20 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Arouca
| Barbero | 5 G |
| Jose Fontan | 2 G |
| Dylan Nandin | 2 G |
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Arouca and CD Nacional has kicked off!
- 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Municipal de Arouca. FC Arouca seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cristo Gonzalez suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Luis Esteves is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CD Nacional so far.
- 22' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Garcia on 22 minutes.
- 27' A stunning finish from Henrique Araujo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 32' CD Nacional come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 37' FC Arouca are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Miguel Baeza comes on to replace Bruno Costa.
- 49' That is a card for CD Nacional. Adrian Butzke will be fuming at that decision.
- 54' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Arouca side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' Tiago Reis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adrian Butzke at the 56 minute mark.
- 61' Alfonso Trezza has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jason on 61 minute.
- 66' FC Arouca looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Tiago Esgaio scoring 1 goals.
- 70' FC Arouca ring the changes. Morlaye Sylla has done his job and it is now time for Ivo Rodrigues to step up.
- 73' It’s gonna be a card for Luis Esteves.
- 74' It’s a booking for FC Arouca player. Ivo Rodrigues gets a card.
- 76' The referee calls foul for Tiago Reis. He receives a card.
- 79' CD Nacional make a change. Nigel Thomas trudges off to be replaced by Isaac Aguiar on 79 minutes.
- 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jason is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Arouca.
- 87' Daniel Penha gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Jose Gomes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Jason ↓ Alfonso Trezza 61'
-
5
David Simao ↓ Pedro Santos 79'
- 23
- 28
- 26
- 58
- 21
- 39
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Ivo Rodrigues 70'
- 73
- 4
Bench
- 14
-
7
Ivo Rodrigues ↑ 70'
- 1
- 78
- 22
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 79'
-
19
Alfonso Trezza ↑ 61'
- 11
-
9
Vladislav Morozov ↑ 79'
Coach
Gonzalo Garcia-Garcia
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Miguel Baeza 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Arvin Appiah 46'
- 10
- 22
- 38
-
9
Adrian Butzke ↓ Tiago Reis 56'
-
11
Nigel Thomas ↓ Isaac Aguiar 79'
- 88
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Daniel Penha 87'
Bench
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 46'
- 18
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 87'
-
72
Tiago Reis ↑ 56'
-
19
Miguel Baeza ↑ 46'
- 1
- 25
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 79'
- 33
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
| Tiago Esgaio | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.47
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
86%
Draw or CD Nacional
42%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
17.4%
2 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
3.5%
4 – 0
2.5%
1 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
63%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

