Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 14:30 UTC Municipal de Arouca 2,081 HT 45' · FT 45'
Henrique Araujo 27' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs CD NacionalPrimeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.

Head-to-Head

4
FC Arouca 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals CD Nacional

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug CD Nacional H 1–0 W
18 Aug Moreirense FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Vitória SC H 0–1 L
18 May Vitória SC H 1–3 L
12 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–5 L
05 May CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug FC Arouca A 0–1 L
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–6 L
10 Aug AVS A 1–1 D
19 May Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
11 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC Arouca CD Nacional
#8 Position #14
42 Points 34
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
47 Scored 37
64 Conceded 45
-17 GD -8
1.24 PPG 1.00
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Adrian Butzke has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chico Lamba, as he is very good at scoring at Municipal de Arouca with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' CD Nacional are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' Poor challenge from Gustavo Garcia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 27' What composure from Henrique Araujo! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 32' Matheus Dias needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 37' Isaac Aguiar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Bruno Costa departs to be replaced by Miguel Baeza.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Adrian Butzke argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Arouca and CD Nacional are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 56' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Adrian Butzke departs to be replaced by Tiago Reis.
  • 61' The FC Arouca manager makes a substitution. Jason departs to be replaced by Alfonso Trezza.
  • 66' FC Arouca started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 70' Ivo Rodrigues has so much to prove this time. He replaces Morlaye Sylla on 70 minute.
  • 73' Luis Esteves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' That is a card for FC Arouca. Ivo Rodrigues will be fuming at that decision.
  • 76' That is a card for CD Nacional. Tiago Reis will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Isaac Aguiar gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Nigel Thomas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' CD Nacional is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' Daniel Penha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jose Gomes on 87 minute.
  • 90' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The points are shared — FC Arouca 1-0 CD Nacional. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca47% Draw29% CD Nacional24%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Nacional
53%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca30% Draw51% CD Nacional19%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
40%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.