FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Moreirense FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Aug | Vitória SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Vitória SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 12 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–5 | L |
| 05 May | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | FC Arouca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–6 | L |
| 10 Aug | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 May | FC Famalicão | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #14 |
| 42 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 47 | Scored | 37 |
| 64 | Conceded | 45 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Adrian Butzke has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chico Lamba, as he is very good at scoring at Municipal de Arouca with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' CD Nacional are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' Poor challenge from Gustavo Garcia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 27' What composure from Henrique Araujo! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 32' Matheus Dias needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 37' Isaac Aguiar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Bruno Costa departs to be replaced by Miguel Baeza.
- 49' Controversy at the stadium! Adrian Butzke argues furiously but the card stands.
- 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Arouca and CD Nacional are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Adrian Butzke departs to be replaced by Tiago Reis.
- 61' The FC Arouca manager makes a substitution. Jason departs to be replaced by Alfonso Trezza.
- 66' FC Arouca started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 70' Ivo Rodrigues has so much to prove this time. He replaces Morlaye Sylla on 70 minute.
- 73' Luis Esteves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 74' That is a card for FC Arouca. Ivo Rodrigues will be fuming at that decision.
- 76' That is a card for CD Nacional. Tiago Reis will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' Isaac Aguiar gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Nigel Thomas and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' CD Nacional is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 87' Daniel Penha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jose Gomes on 87 minute.
- 90' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The points are shared — FC Arouca 1-0 CD Nacional. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Jason ↓ Alfonso Trezza 61'
-
5
David Simao ↓ Pedro Santos 79'
- 23
- 28
- 26
- 58
- 21
- 39
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Ivo Rodrigues 70'
- 73
- 4
Bench
- 14
-
7
Ivo Rodrigues ↑ 70'
- 1
- 78
- 22
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 79'
-
19
Alfonso Trezza ↑ 61'
- 11
-
9
Vladislav Morozov ↑ 79'
Coach
Gonzalo Garcia-Garcia
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Miguel Baeza 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Arvin Appiah 46'
- 10
- 22
- 38
-
9
Adrian Butzke ↓ Tiago Reis 56'
-
11
Nigel Thomas ↓ Isaac Aguiar 79'
- 88
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Daniel Penha 87'
Bench
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 46'
- 18
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 87'
-
72
Tiago Reis ↑ 56'
-
19
Miguel Baeza ↑ 46'
- 1
- 25
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 79'
- 33
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Nacional
53%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

