Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 14:30 UTC Municipal de Arouca 2,081 HT 45' · FT 45'
Henrique Araujo 27' 1–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
FC Arouca 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals CD Nacional

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug CD Nacional H 1–0 W
18 Aug Moreirense FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Vitória SC H 0–1 L
18 May Vitória SC H 1–3 L
12 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–5 L
05 May CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug FC Arouca A 0–1 L
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–6 L
10 Aug AVS A 1–1 D
19 May Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 0–3 L
11 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC Arouca CD Nacional
#5 Position #15
11 Points 4
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
10 Scored 7
7 Conceded 15
+3 GD -8
1.57 PPG 0.57
43% Win % 14%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G
CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Arouca kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gonzalo Garcia-Garcia will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Tiago Reis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Arouca is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 22' Gustavo Garcia is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
  • 27' Against the run of play, Henrique Araujo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 32' FC Arouca are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gustavo Garcia made 394 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Arouca and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Bruno Costa exits the field as Miguel Baeza enters on 46.
  • 49' The referee calls foul for Adrian Butzke. He receives a card.
  • 54' Cristo Gonzalez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
  • 56' Tiago Reis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adrian Butzke on 56 minute.
  • 61' A change in the FC Arouca ranks — Jason exits the field as Alfonso Trezza enters on 61.
  • 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 70' The FC Arouca bench stirs into life. Morlaye Sylla is withdrawn and Ivo Rodrigues gets his opportunity.
  • 73' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Luis Esteves gets a card.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Ivo Rodrigues.
  • 76' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 79' Isaac Aguiar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nigel Thomas at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 87' Another change for CD Nacional made on 87 minute. Jose Gomes leaves to be changed by Daniel Penha.
  • 90' Ze Vitor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • With this win, FC Arouca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + FC Arouca to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca63% Draw23% CD Nacional14%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
87%
Draw or CD Nacional
37%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca45% Draw46% CD Nacional9%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 1
10%
3 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 21% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 26% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
58% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.