FC Arouca vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Marítimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Moreirense FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Aug | Vitória SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Vitória SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 12 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–5 | L |
| 05 May | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | FC Arouca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–6 | L |
| 10 Aug | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 May | FC Famalicão | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 May | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 11 | Points | 4 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 3 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 7 |
| 7 | Conceded | 15 |
| +3 | GD | -8 |
| 1.57 | PPG | 0.57 |
| 43% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Arouca
| Barbero | 4 G |
| Jose Fontan | 2 G |
| Dylan Nandin | 2 G |
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Arouca kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gonzalo Garcia-Garcia will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Tiago Reis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Arouca is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 22' Gustavo Garcia is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
- 27' Against the run of play, Henrique Araujo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 32' FC Arouca are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gustavo Garcia made 394 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Arouca and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Bruno Costa exits the field as Miguel Baeza enters on 46.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Adrian Butzke. He receives a card.
- 54' Cristo Gonzalez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
- 56' Tiago Reis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adrian Butzke on 56 minute.
- 61' A change in the FC Arouca ranks — Jason exits the field as Alfonso Trezza enters on 61.
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' The FC Arouca bench stirs into life. Morlaye Sylla is withdrawn and Ivo Rodrigues gets his opportunity.
- 73' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Luis Esteves gets a card.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Ivo Rodrigues.
- 76' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
- 79' Isaac Aguiar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nigel Thomas at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
- 87' Another change for CD Nacional made on 87 minute. Jose Gomes leaves to be changed by Daniel Penha.
- 90' Ze Vitor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- With this win, FC Arouca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Jason ↓ Alfonso Trezza 61'
-
5
David Simao ↓ Pedro Santos 79'
- 23
- 28
- 26
- 58
- 21
- 39
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Ivo Rodrigues 70'
- 73
- 4
Bench
- 14
-
7
Ivo Rodrigues ↑ 70'
- 1
- 78
- 22
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 79'
-
19
Alfonso Trezza ↑ 61'
- 11
-
9
Vladislav Morozov ↑ 79'
Coach
Gonzalo Garcia-Garcia
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Miguel Baeza 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Arvin Appiah 46'
- 10
- 22
- 38
-
9
Adrian Butzke ↓ Tiago Reis 56'
-
11
Nigel Thomas ↓ Isaac Aguiar 79'
- 88
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Daniel Penha 87'
Bench
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 46'
- 18
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 87'
-
72
Tiago Reis ↑ 56'
-
19
Miguel Baeza ↑ 46'
- 1
- 25
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 79'
- 33
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + FC Arouca to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
87%
Draw or CD Nacional
37%
FC Arouca or CD Nacional
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 1
10%
3 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 26% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

