CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- FC Arouca 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Marítimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Arouca | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | Boavista FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 |
| 7 | Scored | 10 |
| 15 | Conceded | 7 |
| -8 | GD | +3 |
| 0.57 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 14% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
43%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
FC Arouca
| Barbero | 4 G |
| Jose Fontan | 2 G |
| Dylan Nandin | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Estadio da Madeira that hosts another battle between CD Nacional and FC Arouca.
- 5' The Spain Pablo Gozalbez breaks the deadlock on 5 minutes. 0-1!
- 10' Daniel Penha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and FC Arouca are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Ze Vitor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 161 appearances.
- 24' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 24.
- 26' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Henrique Araujo makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tiago Margarido might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 37' Daniel Penha is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
- 42' The 26-year-old Nico Mantl has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' A goal from the Brazil international Ulisses! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-2!
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' The referee calls foul for Ulisses. He receives a card.
- 57' FC Arouca fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' The referee shows FC Arouca player a card on 61.
- 65' Mati-as Rocha is replacing Pablo Gozalbez for the FC Arouca side.
- 67' Matheus Dias has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ulisses on 67 minute.
- 71' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Esteves argues furiously but the card stands.
- 72' A change in the FC Arouca ranks — Morlaye Sylla exits the field as Loum Ndiaye enters on 72.
- 77' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Fuki Yamada comes on to replace Daniel Penha.
- 82' FC Arouca come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 83' A tactical swap from FC Arouca — Puche on, David Simao off on 83 minutes.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Chiheb Labidi on 87 minutes.
- 87' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Gustavo Garcia is withdrawn and Ruben Macedo gets his opportunity.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Pedro Santos. He receives a card.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 99
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↓ Isaac Aguiar 77'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Chiheb Labidi 77'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Fuki Yamada 77'
- 10
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↓ Ruben Macedo 87'
- 38
- 27
-
4
Ulisses ↓ Matheus Dias 67'
- 5
Bench
- 34
- 2
- 18
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 87'
- 1
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 67'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 77'
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 77'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 77'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
5
David Simao ↓ Puche 83'
- 28
-
22
Pablo Gozalbez ↓ Mati-as Rocha 65'
- 26
- 13
- 58
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Pedro Santos 72'
-
39
Henrique Araujo ↓ Dylan Nandin 65'
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Loum Ndiaye 72'
- 73
- 19
Bench
-
31
Loum Ndiaye ↑ 72'
- 50
- 1
- 78
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 72'
-
11
Puche ↑ 83'
-
4
Mati-as Rocha ↑ 65'
- 24
-
23
Dylan Nandin ↑ 65'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.08
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
FC Arouca xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Arouca
76%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Arouca covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

