CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- FC Arouca 11 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitoria SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Arouca | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitoria SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Vitoria SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | Boavista FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 10 | Points | 20 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 3 |
| 11 | Scored | 13 |
| 19 | Conceded | 8 |
| -8 | GD | +5 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 27% | Win % | 55% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
55%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
FC Arouca
| Barbero | 5 G |
| Jose Fontan | 2 G |
| Dylan Nandin | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio da Madeira will turn into a battlefield for CD Nacional and FC Arouca.
- 5' Pablo Gozalbez puts FC Arouca on the lead.
- 10' Weverson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Arouca so far.
- 15' FC Arouca is showing some good football. However, FC Arouca are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 24' Ze Vitor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 24.
- 26' Goal! Henrique Araujo scores his 14 goal in 481 matches.
- 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' Ze Vitor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Penha on 37.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Arouca winning 100% of all matches.
- 46' Against the run of play, Ulisses has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 51' It’s high time Tiago Margarido made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 52' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
- 57' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Arouca's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 61' The referee shows FC Arouca player a card on 61.
- 65' Another change for FC Arouca made on 65 minute. Pablo Gozalbez leaves to be changed by Mati-as Rocha.
- 67' The crowd applauds Ulisses as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Dias steps in for CD Nacional.
- 71' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 72' Loum Ndiaye gets the nod from FC Arouca. He replaces Morlaye Sylla and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Another change for CD Nacional made on 77 minute. Daniel Penha leaves to be changed by Fuki Yamada.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chico Lamba made 520 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 83' FC Arouca ring the changes. David Simao has done his job and it is now time for Puche to step up.
- 87' Chiheb Labidi was booked on 87.
- 87' The crowd applauds Gustavo Garcia as he leaves the pitch. Ruben Macedo steps in for CD Nacional.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Pedro Santos.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — CD Nacional 1-2 FC Arouca.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 99
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↓ Isaac Aguiar 77'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Chiheb Labidi 77'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Fuki Yamada 77'
- 10
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↓ Ruben Macedo 87'
- 38
- 27
-
4
Ulisses ↓ Matheus Dias 67'
- 5
Bench
- 34
- 2
- 18
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 87'
- 1
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 67'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 77'
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 77'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 77'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
5
David Simao ↓ Puche 83'
- 28
-
22
Pablo Gozalbez ↓ Mati-as Rocha 65'
- 26
- 13
- 58
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Pedro Santos 72'
-
39
Henrique Araujo ↓ Dylan Nandin 65'
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Loum Ndiaye 72'
- 73
- 19
Bench
-
31
Loum Ndiaye ↑ 72'
- 50
- 1
- 78
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 72'
-
11
Puche ↑ 83'
-
4
Mati-as Rocha ↑ 65'
- 24
-
23
Dylan Nandin ↑ 65'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
| Tiago Esgaio | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.98
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
FC Arouca xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Arouca
75%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
10%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Arouca covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.