CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Arouca | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | Boavista FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #8 |
| 34 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 |
| 37 | Scored | 47 |
| 45 | Conceded | 64 |
| -8 | GD | -17 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pablo Gozalbez makes it 0-1.
- 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tiago Margarido might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 24' Poor challenge from Ze Vitor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 26' Brilliant from the ! Henrique Araujo makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 26.
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and FC Arouca are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jose Gomes made 266 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' Controversy at the stadium! Daniel Penha argues furiously but the card stands.
- 42' FC Arouca have won 181 goals from 171 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Goal! Ulisses scores his 2 goal in 266 matches.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 52' Ulisses was booked on 52.
- 57' FC Arouca come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 61' Boris Popovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 65' Pablo Gozalbez makes way for Mati-as Rocha at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Arouca.
- 67' Another change for CD Nacional made on 67 minute. Ulisses leaves to be changed by Matheus Dias.
- 71' Luis Esteves is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
- 72' Another substitution for FC Arouca to replace Morlaye Sylla by Loum Ndiaye on 72 minute.
- 77' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Daniel Penha exits the field as Fuki Yamada enters on 77.
- 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 83' The FC Arouca manager makes a substitution. David Simao departs to be replaced by Puche.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Chiheb Labidi.
- 87' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Gustavo Garcia exits the field as Ruben Macedo enters on 87.
- 90' FC Arouca receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 99
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↓ Isaac Aguiar 77'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Chiheb Labidi 77'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Fuki Yamada 77'
- 10
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↓ Ruben Macedo 87'
- 38
- 27
-
4
Ulisses ↓ Matheus Dias 67'
- 5
Bench
- 34
- 2
- 18
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 87'
- 1
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 67'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 77'
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 77'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 77'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
5
David Simao ↓ Puche 83'
- 28
-
22
Pablo Gozalbez ↓ Mati-as Rocha 65'
- 26
- 13
- 58
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Pedro Santos 72'
-
39
Henrique Araujo ↓ Dylan Nandin 65'
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Loum Ndiaye 72'
- 73
- 19
Bench
-
31
Loum Ndiaye ↑ 72'
- 50
- 1
- 78
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 72'
-
11
Puche ↑ 83'
-
4
Mati-as Rocha ↑ 65'
- 24
-
23
Dylan Nandin ↑ 65'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Araujo | 2 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
FC Arouca xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or FC Arouca 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Arouca
64%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Arouca covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

