Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,989 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Pablo Gozalbez
0–2 26' Henrique Araujo pen
Ulisses 45+1' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Head-to-Head

4
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Arouca

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb FC Arouca H 1–2 L
25 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
19 Jan AVS H 3–1 W
12 Jan FC Porto H 2–0 W
29 Dec Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
23 Dec Vitória SC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb CD Nacional A 2–1 W
24 Jan Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
18 Jan Vitória SC A 2–2 D
04 Jan Boavista FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Casa Pia AC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional FC Arouca
#14 Position #8
34 Points 42
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
37 Scored 47
45 Conceded 64
-8 GD -17
1.00 PPG 1.24
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pablo Gozalbez makes it 0-1.
  • 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tiago Margarido might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Ze Vitor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 26' Brilliant from the ! Henrique Araujo makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 26.
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and FC Arouca are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jose Gomes made 266 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 37' Controversy at the stadium! Daniel Penha argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 42' FC Arouca have won 181 goals from 171 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Goal! Ulisses scores his 2 goal in 266 matches.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' Ulisses was booked on 52.
  • 57' FC Arouca come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' Boris Popovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
  • 65' Pablo Gozalbez makes way for Mati-as Rocha at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Arouca.
  • 67' Another change for CD Nacional made on 67 minute. Ulisses leaves to be changed by Matheus Dias.
  • 71' Luis Esteves is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
  • 72' Another substitution for FC Arouca to replace Morlaye Sylla by Loum Ndiaye on 72 minute.
  • 77' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Daniel Penha exits the field as Fuki Yamada enters on 77.
  • 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' The FC Arouca manager makes a substitution. David Simao departs to be replaced by Puche.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Chiheb Labidi.
  • 87' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Gustavo Garcia exits the field as Ruben Macedo enters on 87.
  • 90' FC Arouca receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or FC Arouca 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional36% Draw27% FC Arouca37%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Arouca
64%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional29% Draw44% FC Arouca27%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
24%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.