Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,989 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Pablo Gozalbez
0–2 26' Henrique Araujo pen
Ulisses 45+1' 1–2

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Arouca

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb FC Arouca H 1–2 L
25 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
19 Jan AVS H 3–1 W
12 Jan FC Porto H 2–0 W
29 Dec Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
23 Dec Vitória SC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb CD Nacional A 2–1 W
24 Jan Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
18 Jan Vitória SC A 2–2 D
04 Jan Boavista FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Casa Pia AC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional FC Arouca
#15 Position #5
4 Points 11
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 10
15 Conceded 7
-8 GD +3
0.57 PPG 1.57
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio da Madeira that hosts another battle between CD Nacional and FC Arouca.
  • 5' The Spain Pablo Gozalbez breaks the deadlock on 5 minutes. 0-1!
  • 10' Daniel Penha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and FC Arouca are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Ze Vitor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 161 appearances.
  • 24' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 24.
  • 26' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Henrique Araujo makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tiago Margarido might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 37' Daniel Penha is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 42' The 26-year-old Nico Mantl has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' A goal from the Brazil international Ulisses! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-2!
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Ulisses. He receives a card.
  • 57' FC Arouca fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 61' The referee shows FC Arouca player a card on 61.
  • 65' Mati-as Rocha is replacing Pablo Gozalbez for the FC Arouca side.
  • 67' Matheus Dias has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ulisses on 67 minute.
  • 71' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Esteves argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' A change in the FC Arouca ranks — Morlaye Sylla exits the field as Loum Ndiaye enters on 72.
  • 77' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Fuki Yamada comes on to replace Daniel Penha.
  • 82' FC Arouca come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 83' A tactical swap from FC Arouca — Puche on, David Simao off on 83 minutes.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Chiheb Labidi on 87 minutes.
  • 87' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Gustavo Garcia is withdrawn and Ruben Macedo gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Pedro Santos. He receives a card.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.08 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional24% Draw26% FC Arouca50%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Arouca
76%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional17% Draw43% FC Arouca40%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.