Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
CD Nacional
1 – 2
Full Time
FC Arouca
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
9 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

4
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Arouca
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep FC Arouca H 1–2 L
13 Sep FC Porto A 0–1 L
30 Aug Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
17 Aug Rio Ave FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Gil Vicente FC H 0–2 L
FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep CD Nacional A 2–1 W
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
30 Aug Vitória SC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–6 L
09 Aug AVS H 3–1 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional FC Arouca
#14 Position #8
34 Points 42
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
37 Scored 47
45 Conceded 64
-8 GD -17
1.00 PPG 1.24
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CD Nacional to score. At the same time, FC Arouca does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CD Nacional.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or FC Arouca 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional33% Draw27% FC Arouca40%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Arouca
67%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional27% Draw44% FC Arouca29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.