Saturday , 14 November 2026

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
CD Nacional
1 – 2
Full Time
FC Arouca
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
6 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

5
CD Nacional 5 games · Avg 2.2 goals FC Arouca
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2025-02-01 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-25 FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep FC Arouca H 1–2 L
13 Sep FC Porto A 0–1 L
30 Aug Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
17 Aug Rio Ave FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Gil Vicente FC H 0–2 L
FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep CD Nacional A 2–1 W
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
30 Aug Vitória SC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–6 L
09 Aug AVS H 3–1 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional FC Arouca
#13 Position #5
10 Points 20
11 Played 11
3 / 1 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 3
11 Scored 13
19 Conceded 8
-8 GD +5
0.91 PPG 1.82
27% Win % 55%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
55% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
FC Arouca
Barbero 5 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
  • FC Arouca celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.93 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional23% Draw27% FC Arouca50%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
50%
Draw or FC Arouca
77%
CD Nacional or FC Arouca
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional16% Draw46% FC Arouca38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
5.6%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.