Friday , 28 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Mon 10 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Milton Keynes Dons FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Derby County FC A 1–1 D
07 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
01 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
25 Mar Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Accrington Stanley FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Milton Keynes Dons FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Milton Keynes Dons FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Milton Keynes Dons FC
Aaron Collins 2 G
Charlie Goode 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Milton Keynes Dons FC get us underway at Pride Park.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Milton Keynes Dons FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 17' David McGoldrick doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 24' Edmond-Paris Maghoma has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dean Lewington is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Milton Keynes Dons FC that had 178 games and scored 242 goals.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The Milton Keynes Dons FC bench stirs into life. Jonathan Leko is withdrawn and Conor Grant gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Grant made 381 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' Haydon Roberts has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' Magnificent from Henry Lawrence! That is 1 goals in 409 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Jake Rooney is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 70.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Max Bird. He replaces Korey Smith on 71 minute.
  • 72' Lewis Dobbin has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Collins on 72 minute.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Tennai Watson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Milton Keynes Dons FC! Will Grigg comes on to replace Nathan Holland.
  • 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Tom Barkhuizen is replaced by Louie Sibley on 84 minute.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Haydon Roberts is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 84.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Milton Keynes Dons FC team. Josh McEachran is replaced by Bradley Johnson on 85 minute.
  • 90' Ethan Robson gets the nod from Milton Keynes Dons FC. He replaces Zak Jules and will look to change the dynamic.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw29% Milton Keynes Dons FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
61%
Derby County FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw49% Milton Keynes Dons FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.