Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Mon 10 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Milton Keynes Dons FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Derby County FC A 1–1 D
07 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
01 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
25 Mar Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Accrington Stanley FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Pride Park will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Milton Keynes Dons FC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohamed Eisa made 387 appearances and scored 43 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Dean Lewington has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 17' GOAL! David McGoldrick scores on 17.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' Milton Keynes Dons FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Milton Keynes Dons FC that had 177 games and scored 240 goals.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathan Holland, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Conor Grant. He replaces Jonathan Leko on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 61' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' What an equalizer from Henry Lawrence!
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jake Rooney.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Korey Smith is replaced by Max Bird.
  • 72' The whistle greets James Collins as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Dobbin.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Milton Keynes Dons FC player. Tennai Watson gets a Yellow card.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Milton Keynes Dons FC. Nathan Holland is replaced by Will Grigg.
  • 83' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' The whistle greets Tom Barkhuizen as he departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
  • 84' Haydon Roberts was booked on 84.
  • 85' Another substitution for Milton Keynes Dons FC to replace Josh McEachran by Bradley Johnson on 85 minute.
  • 90' Ethan Robson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zak Jules on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw29% Milton Keynes Dons FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
61%
Derby County FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw49% Milton Keynes Dons FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.