Wednesday , 14 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Mon 10 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Milton Keynes Dons FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Derby County FC A 1–1 D
07 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
01 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
25 Mar Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Accrington Stanley FC A 1–0 W
11 Mar Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Milton Keynes Dons FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Milton Keynes Dons FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
–/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Milton Keynes Dons FC
Aaron Collins 6 G 1 A
Charlie Goode 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Milton Keynes Dons FC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Milton Keynes Dons FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tom Barkhuizen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 17' David McGoldrick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Milton Keynes Dons FC's shape.
  • 24' Edmond-Paris Maghoma picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 29' Bradley Johnson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' The travelling Milton Keynes Dons FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' Milton Keynes Dons FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Jonathan Leko makes way for Conor Grant at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Milton Keynes Dons FC.
  • 51' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Milton Keynes Dons FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 66' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 68' Henry Lawrence has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
  • 70' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Max Bird on, Korey Smith off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' The whistle greets James Collins as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Dobbin.
  • 74' That is a Yellow card for Milton Keynes Dons FC. Tennai Watson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' Will Grigg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nathan Holland at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Tom Barkhuizen is replaced by Louie Sibley on 84 minute.
  • 84' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Haydon Roberts will be fuming at that decision.
  • 85' The whistle greets Josh McEachran as he departs to be replaced by Bradley Johnson.
  • 90' Ethan Robson gets the nod from Milton Keynes Dons FC. He replaces Zak Jules and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw29% Milton Keynes Dons FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
61%
Derby County FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw49% Milton Keynes Dons FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.