Thursday , 2 July 2026

Milton Keynes Dons FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 12 Nov 2022 · 15:00 UTC Stadium mk HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Milton Keynes Dons FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov Derby County FC H 1–3 L
05 Nov Taunton Town FC H 6–0 W
29 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 0–0 D
25 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 2–0 W
22 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
15 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 3–1 W
06 Nov Torquay United FC A 2–2 D
01 Nov Morecambe FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Milton Keynes Dons FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Milton Keynes Dons FC32% Draw27% Derby County FC41%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Milton Keynes Dons FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Milton Keynes Dons FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Milton Keynes Dons FC24% Draw43% Derby County FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Milton Keynes Dons FC

Handicap Milton Keynes Dons FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.